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Verano Holdings Corp. (PNK:VRNOF) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Verano Holdings Corp. (PNK:VRNOF) Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript February 29, 2024

Verano Holdings Corp. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Abby and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Verano Holdings Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded and all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. And I will now turn the conference over to Julianna Paterra, Vice President of Investor Relations. You may begin.

Julianna Paterra: Thank you and good morning everyone. Welcome to Verano Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 earnings conference call. I am joined today by George Archos, Chief Executive Officer and Founder, Brett Summerer, Chief Financial Officer, Darren Weiss, President and Aaron Miles, Chief Investment Officer. During this call, we will discuss our business outlook and make forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable US and Canadian securities laws, which are based on management's current assumptions and expectations. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance and achievements of the business or developments in the Company's industry to differ materially from those implied by such forward-looking statements.

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Actual events or results could differ considerably due to risks and uncertainties mentioned in our filings that have guaranteed our including our financial statements for the year and quarter ended December 31, 2023. Our financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2023 and related comparisons to prior periods included in this release have not been audited and were prepared by the company prior to the release of the Company's independent auditors audit report. In addition to today's discussion, we will refer to non-GAAP financial measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP. Management believes that non-GAAP results are useful to enhance the understanding of the company's ongoing performance, but these are supplemental to and should not be considered in isolation from or as a substitute for GAAP financial measures.

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These non-GAAP measures are defined in our earnings press release and available on our website at investors.verano.com, which also includes the reconciliation of these measures to their respective most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Lastly, all currency is in US dollars, unless otherwise noted. George, please take it away.

George Archos: Thank you for joining today and I hope everyone had a nice start to the year. I am very proud to discuss this past year's results with you, along with many milestone achievements led by our hard-working team here at Verano. Today, I will provide an overview of the fourth quarter and full year 2023, followed by a deep dive into some of our larger markets before passing it off to Brett to cover the financials in more detail. I will then close with my thoughts on our outlook for 2024 and the many opportunities that lie ahead of both the industry and Verano specifically. To start, we delivered against our full year 2023 free cash flow guidance, generating $73 million in free cash flow, while we expect maybe the largest for the industry in 2023 given peer guidance.

We had a record year with $938 million in revenue or 7% growth versus the prior year. And we maintained our focus on price and cost management, which helped us drive 32% adjusted EBITDA margins for the year, supported by a strong vertical mix and a disciplined pricing strategy. We continued to execute against our growth strategy, targeting practical pockets of growth, across our retail footprint and product portfolio. Throughout 2023, we added 16 dispensaries across key markets, including Florida, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and West Virginia, bringing our year-end dispensary count to 136. We have also continued building out throughout 2024 and now stand at 138. Along with retail growth, our innovation pipeline was humming all year, evidenced by our over 70 new products deployed across our multistate footprint.

For example, Savvy and BITS, two of our younger brands grew to represent a combined 22% of our total net revenue within just a year of their launch and the entire Verano product portfolio gained over 225 bps in market share throughout the year across our BDSA trackable markets. We focused on leveraging the strong brand portfolio to take advantage of organic growth opportunities including new adult-use markets. Notably, we continue to be an early leader in markets that transition to adult use. In Connecticut and Maryland, both of which transition to adult use in 2023, we were able to smoothly execute two successful program launches as defined by improved output metrics in both markets. By strategically timing our hiring to align with our projected growth and maintaining an eye for efficiencies, these two markets our average units produced by head count increased 47% during the first quarter of adult-use sales, as compared to their prior quarters.

In that same vein of efficiencies, automation continues to be a priority for us as we delivered continued cost savings and enhanced operating procedures. We implemented additional automation measures across New Jersey, Illinois, and Florida, which contributed to an improvement of 26% for units produced per headcount across those two states for 2023, off an already strong base in 2022. We believe automation is critically important to the business and plan to continue investments in efficiencies as we see the opportunity to do so. We continue to partner with industry representatives and state lobbying efforts, which bore many victories with Illinois, New Jersey, and Connecticut, all decoupling cannabis from the 2AE tax burden. We commend these three states were implementing a fair tax scheme that will better equip small cannabis businesses to succeed and thrive.

These three states represent some of our top wholesale and retail contributors and their fair approach helped us save $16 million in tax liabilities in 2023. Though I hesitate to use the word savings, as that implies we are somehow now tax advantage versus other industries in the state when in fact we are only now tax alongside them against our taxable income. Imagine the formidable cash flow potential we had if and when 2AE is decoupled from all of our states and at the Federal level. Regarding capital allocation, we believe we delivered on our goals made one year ago to leverage our real estate at improved mortgage rates, efficiently manage through our balance sheet and tax payments, and build cash for flexibility. We completed over $50 million in real estate loans in 2023 including both lower cost of capital new loans as well as refinancings maintaining a reduced blended cost of capital versus lease heavy peers.

Additionally, as we previously guided, we maintained our income tax payable balance ending the year at similar levels compared to the prior year. Finally, after growing our cash balance through the year by $90 million to a year-end balance of $175 million, we plan to put this cash to use and reduce our leverage on higher cost of capital. Flexibility in the credit agreement allows for nimbleness should any anticipated opportunities arise given the current political landscape. We have scheduled a prepayment under our senior credit facility of $50 million for April 30th, leaving us optionality to further pay down the credit facility at a time of our choosing, subject to advanced notice obligations and potential prepayment premiums. For context, this $50 million in debt reduction will result in about $8 million in interest expense savings annually.

Moving on to updates from some of our larger markets, I'd like to begin with New Jersey. As we noted last quarter, given the continued ramp-up and normalization of dispensary count in the state, retail revenue declined to $26 million in the fourth quarter. Again this was in line with our expectations. Keep in mind that at the beginning of 2023, there were only 19 dispensaries in the state and by the end of the year, there were over 90. While we expect this market to remain competitive as additional dispensaries open, we have the opportunity to open seven social equity JVs, which we believe will help to offset increased competition. In the near-term, however, we expect first quarter retail sales in the state to decline sequentially. On the wholesale side, the fourth quarter showed continued strength with our brand portfolio amongst the market share leaders for the state according to BDSA.

Additionally, we feel that states dispensary openings will continue to offer wholesale opportunity this year, especially given Bronto strong brand awareness and popularity in New Jersey with cannabis consumers. Illinois share some similarities with New Jersey and that many social equity dispensaries have opened. It represents an increasingly competitive retail environment. However, we've developed an arsenal of new brands to combat this and grow our market share, such as the recent relaunch of the Essence brand on Green Wednesday, which contributed to significant market share gains. Throughout the fourth quarter, we increased our market share by over 20%, elevating us to the number three position in the state according to BDSA. Illinois remains a key state for us, given the state's strong wholesale pricing versus the national average and it's over $2 billion of sales in 2023, which put it in the top five US.

cannabis markets. In Florida, we exceeded our expectations for the quarter with revenue up nearly 11% sequentially. While we opened three new dispensaries there during the quarter, much of this outperformance was driven by market share gains. Moove [ph] had an impressive quarter, gaining 90 bps of market share as measured by ounces sold versus the prior quarter. It bears worth repeating that we believe our market share as measured by value understates our true market share of sales, given our premium pricing position. We believe this recent market share increase was due to our deeper product offering and focus on quality versus peers. Notably, we also achieved these gains while maintaining our premium pricing position relative to peers and with lower levels of discounting versus the prior year period.

With support still trending quite favorably, we believe that Florida voters will approve the legalization of adult-use consumption. In preparation, we anticipate opening a handful of new dispensaries this year, and are already incrementally adding capacity in our Florida production facilities to meet both current Medical and future demand. We look forward to what we believe will be a very sunny future Florida. In Pennsylvania, adult-use momentum has continued, which we believe may ultimately result in a 2025 adult-use launch, given the strong support from the governor. With our 18 dispensaries over 50,000 square feet of cultivation and our expectation for a two to three times lift in revenue upon adult-use commencement. We will be watching the Commonwealth very closely.

Lastly, we are preparing for the much-anticipated launch of adult-use in Ohio. We are ramping up capacity and plan on adding one dispensary to today's five dispensary footprint, bringing our total to six. Given the significance of a new adult-use program launch, we are optimizing everything in a state from SOPs to retail operations. Our expected 2.5 times revenue lift, similar to that of Connecticut and Maryland, should provide a modest top line tailwind in 2024. Before I pass the call to Brett, I want to take a minute to thank our teammates across the country for an outstanding job in 2023. I am so grateful for our team's efforts, proven by the great results we delivered for the year, not only did we accomplish a great deal, but we have a proven track record of delivering against our promises.

And now I'll pass it off to Brett, to speak to our financials in more detail.

Brett Summerer: Thanks George. I'll begin by covering full year results before diving into fourth quarter results. Revenue for the full year increased 7% year-over-year to $938 million, driven by a full year's contribution from New Jersey adult-use in addition to adult-use launches in Connecticut and Maryland. On a gross revenue basis, excluding intersegment eliminations, 68% of sales were derived from the Retail business with the largest contributions from Florida, Illinois and New Jersey. The remaining 32% of sales were derived from the Wholesale side of the business with the largest contributions from Illinois, New Jersey and Connecticut. Gross profit for the year was $475 million or 51% of revenue versus $423 million or 48% of revenue in the prior year.

The gross profit increase was driven by increased vertical mix of Verano products as well as favorable market mix paired with an overall top line growth and continued operational performance improvements. We also reduced inventory by 15 days year-over-year, ending with 108 days of inventory on hand which we feel is a comfortable level. SG&A expenses were $332 million for the year or 35% of revenue versus $387 million in the prior year or 41%. The decline in SG&A expense was largely driven by a decrease in employee stock compensation relative to the prior year. We had a net loss for the year of $113 million, driven by the provision for income taxes as we still account for income taxes in our 2e [ph] as well as an impairment associated with our Arizona Cultivation Reporting Unit.

Adjusted EBITDA for the year was $3.5 million or 32% of revenue. Moving on to the financials for the fourth quarter of 2023 revenue was $237 million, up 5% year over year primarily due to growth in New Jersey wholesale in addition to growth in Maryland and Florida Retail. Gross profit for the quarter was $118 million or 50% of revenue versus $103 million or 46% of revenue in prior year period, driven by increased wholesale revenue paired with lower cultivation supply costs. SG&A expenses were $86 million for the quarter or 36% of revenue versus $81 million in the prior year period or 36% of revenue, relative to revenue expenses were kept flat as we balanced store opening costs with business growth. We had a net loss for the fourth quarter of $73 million again, driven by income taxes and impairment of our Arizona Cultivation Reporting Unit.

Adjusted EBITDA was $73 million or 31% of revenue. Excluding some inventory impacts sequential performance was strong. Turning to the balance sheet and cash flows, we maintain a strong balance sheet ending the year with $175 million in cash and cash equivalents, which provides us flexibility whether it be through continued deleveraging, further income tax paydown, CapEx or M&A. Cash flow from operations for the year was a very strong $110 million, contributing to our free cash flow of $73 million for the year meeting our guidance range. And we achieved a free cash flow alongside tax payments, totaling $167 million in 2023 and continued investments in the company, with CapEx spending in the fourth quarter and full year at $10 million and $36 million respectively.

Looking ahead to 2024, we should expect similar levels of CapEx investment this year, anticipating a $25 million to $50 million range, excluding opportunistic activity should any markets expand, such as adult-use in Florida. Given the many uncertainties facing the industry this year, we anticipate placing more emphasis on near-term guidance. Looking towards the first quarter, we're expecting a 5% to 7% revenue decline versus the prior year period due to competitive pressures in New Jersey. Additionally, we anticipate a similar inventory-related adjusted EBITDA impact, albeit more subtle in the fourth quarters. In 2024, we will continue to evaluate the best uses of cash, including opportunities to strengthen our balance sheet and to best position ourselves ahead of growth.

And now, I'll hand it back to George to wrap-up.

George Archos: Thanks, Brett. 2024 looks incredibly positive from where I'm standing, with tailwinds for both our industry and Verano specifically. Here at Verano, we are expanding our robust innovation pipeline as evidenced by the success of our newer products, which comprise 47% of revenue as of the end of the year. These products address some key gaps in our portfolio. While we recognize that sustaining over a 40% revenue share for new product launches is likely not sustainable, we remain committed to innovation and are working on some exciting developments that you'll be hearing about as we progress throughout the year. At the retail experience level, we are evaluating initiatives to better monetize our sales force. Additionally, given the ROI we've seen from X or Twitter advertisements, which is now our third largest web traffic acquisition medium, we anticipate slightly increasing our investment in direct marketing expenses this year.

We expect to share more developments with you over the next few months. Our Legislative Affairs team continues to focus on achievable state-level initiatives with high ROI. This year, our team is focused on lobbying for lower various state-level fees, lower consumer-level taxes, psychoactive hemp regulation, 280E decoupling at the state level, and additional legalization campaigns. I am confident our team will make important contributions to create another strong year of incremental tangible wins for the company. And lastly, we retain our appetite for accretive M&A deals but will remain patient. As we continue evaluating M&A, we will remain focused on identifying opportunities that are not only the right strategic fit, but also financially attractive.

Industry-wide, we are of course looking ahead to a final rescheduling decision from the DEA. We continue to believe the DEA will agree with the HHS's recommendation to reschedule cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III. We expect the current administration will want to point to not only a promise, but an achievement. Given the population's strong support of the issue, with 70% of Americans supporting legalization according to the latest Gallup poll, and the depth of new research underpinning cannabis' medical efficacy, we believe the DEA's possible rescheduling decision should be nothing short of a common sense approach. I'd like to walk through what a Schedule III decision may mean for our business, an important step towards operating as a normal business.

Let's start with the tax implications, arguably the most meaningful impact. We anticipate we would finally be taxed as an ordinary business, be able to deduct salary, travel, rent, service provider and countless other expenses from our taxable income. We estimate not being subject to 280 would have saved us over 80 million in federal and state tax dollars in 2023. Additionally, this would have the potential to significantly improve our credit terms, resulting in lower costs of capital. Our consumers might be able to use credit cards, which we estimate would modestly increase basket sizes. Further, we could have a much less burdensome cash management system, allowing us to earn interest on our significant cash balance. And more importantly, our employees would be safer as we'd anticipate a decrease in break-ins industry-wide, with dispensaries holding less cash on promises.

Our vendor pool could also greatly widen. And lastly, we could expect incremental institutional investor comfort, possibly modestly lifting multiples as new names begin entering the space. Although we don't think a Schedule III designation alone would be enough for a US listing, we think there's a chance that a Schedule III decision would continue momentum for certain exchanges. So, as usual, we remain proactive in that arena. While we cannot predict with certainty if or when any Schedule III decisions would be made or what effect it will have on our business, we expect that these changes will be positive for Verano. While most are focused on the DEA recommendation, let me remind you of all the other positive catalysts ahead of us, including adult use launching this summer in Ohio and momentum in Pennsylvania and Florida towards adult use legalization, impacts from which cannot be understated.

Today, 38 states at a comprehensive medical cannabis program and conversations continue in the right direction and states without programs such as South Carolina and North Carolina. And with 24 established adult use state programs, a wealth of opportunity lies ahead of us regarding future adult use program launches. From where we stand, everything is trending in the right direction. I am tremendously proud of the team here in Toronto and thank them again for an incredible 2023. As I said at the onset of the call, we have so much to look forward to in 2024. I look forward to seeing what additional momentum this year brings. Operator, please open up the line for questions.

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