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Rent analysis: Punggol tops list, with 40-41% rise in median rent across HDB flat types since Q3 last year

Singapore’s rental market is on a tear, particularly in the 3rd quarter of 2022, which is no understatement.

The signs have been there since 2020 when COVID, circuit-breaker, home-based schooling and work-from-home policies forced many to explore temporary housing options like renting.

Yet, in 2022, as office workers return to the workplace and kids back to school, rental prices continue to rise unabated.

Between Q3 2021 and Q3 2022, average rent prices in Singapore (all properties) rose 36.18%, a double-digit surge compared to the Q3-to-Q3 comparisons for 2018-2019 (-0.23%), 2019-2020 (1.78%) and 2020-2021 (-3.61%).

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This should ring some alarm bells for the authorities.

Average Rental trends Singapore 2019-2022
Average Rental trends Singapore 2019-2022

If we drill down to just the first nine months of 2022, we can see that the average psf price for rents in Singapore has risen 21.92%.

Rental trends Singapore 2022
Rental trends Singapore 2022

In other words, a 1,000-square-foot condo apartment would see its average rent price rise from S$3.76 psf (S$3,760 per month) in January to S$4.58 psf (S$4,580) in September – a whopping S$820 rise in just nine months.

That’s a lot of money spent just to stay under one roof – considering households also face inflation, higher interest rates and an impending 8% GST in 2023 and 9% in 2024.

This also explains why existing tenants are renewing their leases for 2-year terms to lock in their rental prices before their landlords have a change of heart (or minds) to increase rent prices even more.

HDB Median Rent

Last week, HDB released median rents by town and flat type for Q3 2022.

Median Rents by Town and Flat Type HDB
Median Rents by Town and Flat Type HDB

The Q3 2022 numbers only tell part of the story. Let’s look at median rents for 4-room HDB flats across previous quarters to better understand how severe rental prices have surged for HDB flats.

Median Rents for 4-room HDB Flats

Q3 2021

Q4 2021

Q1 2022

Q2 2022

Q3 2022

Q3 to Q3

Central

2800

2800

3000

3050

3500

25.00%

Queenstown

2750

2730

2900

2900

3450

25.45%

Clementi

2500

2550

2600

2700

3100

24.00%

Bukit Merah

2600

2670

2800

2900

3000

15.38%

Kallang/ Whampoa

2500

2550

2600

2700

2900

16.00%

Jurong East

2200

2200

2300

2350

2800

27.27%

Toa Payoh

2300

2500

2450

2600

2800

21.74%

Punggol

2000

2100

2300

2500

2800

40.00%

Serangoon

2300

2300

2300

2500

2750

19.57%

Bishan

2400

2400

2500

2600

2730

13.75%

Sengkang

2100

2100

2200

2300

2700

28.57%

Marine Parade

2200

2480

2300

2430

2650

20.45%

Ang Mo Kio

2200

2300

2350

2400

2600

18.18%

Choa Chu Kang

2000

2000

2050

2200

2600

30.00%

Geylang

2400

2400

2500

2400

2600

8.33%

Hougang

2030

2150

2200

2200

2600

28.08%

Jurong West

2150

2200

2200

2400

2600

20.93%

Bukit Panjang

2000

2000

2100

2300

2550

27.50%

Bedok

2200

2250

2200

2400

2500

13.64%

Bukit Batok

2100

2100

2100

2400

2500

19.05%

Pasir Ris

2050

2100

2200

2300

2500

21.95%

Tampines

2200

2200

2300

2350

2500

13.64%

Woodlands

1900

2000

2100

2300

2500

31.58%

Yishun

2000

2000

2100

2250

2500

25.00%

Sembawang

1900

2000

2100

2200

2450

28.95%

 

So here are some findings:

  • Across all estates (with the exception of Bukit Timah, which has no rental transactions), median rents have risen across the board over the past year.

  • The highest Q3-to-Q3 rise for 4-room flats is in Punggol, which rose from S$2,000 to S$2800, a 40% increase!

  • Similarly, when we looked at the median rents for 3-room and 5-room HDB flats between Q3 2021 and Q3 2022, Punggol tops both lists with a S$1,950 to S$2,750 rise for 3-rooms (41.03%) and S$2,000 to S$2,800 for 5-rooms (40%).

  • The next highest quarter-to-quarter rise for 4-room flats is in Woodlands, which rose from S$1,900 to S$2,500, a 31.58% increase. This is followed by Choa Chu Kang, which rose from S$2,000 to S$2,600, a 30% rise.

  • The lowest quarter-to-quarter rise is Geylang, which rose from S$2,400 to S$2,600, an 8.33% rise. It is also the only estate on the list to have risen by a single-digit percentage. Bedok and Tampines are the next lowest, rising from S$2,200 to S$2,500, or 13.64%.

  • In terms of estate type, the Q3-to-Q3 rise for 4-room flats in non-mature estates is from 19.05% to 40%, with the highest rises in Choa Chu Kang, Woodlands and Punggol. For mature estates, it’s 8.33% to 20.45%, with the highest rises in Clementi, Central and Queenstown.

  • For 3-room flats, non-mature estates registered a range between 14.29% to 41.03% – with the highest rises in Yishun, Hougang and Punggol. Mature estates saw a range between 15% to 26.32%, with the highest rises in Tampines, Queenstown and Bishan.

  • For 5-room flats, non-mature estates registered median rent increases from 13.64% to 40%, with the highest rises in Woodlands, Sengkang and Punggol. For mature estates, the range is from 14% to 29.63%, with the highest rises in Tampines, Bishan and Clementi.

  • This shows that most median rent increases are in non-mature estates, with Punggol and Woodlands consistently on top. For mature estates, the rise is more evenly spread out, with Queenstown, Tampines and Clementi being on top.

Seeing double with rental trendlines: HDBs, Condos and ECs in Punggol

Since Punggol has the highest median rent rise (40-41%!) from Q3 2021 to Q3 2022, we think it’s apt to look deeper at the estate itself.

Punggol HDB average rent prices comparison
Punggol HDB average rent prices comparison

We can see from the chart that while rent transaction volumes for HDB flats in Punggol have decreased since their historical highs in Q1 and Q2 of 2021, average rent prices in the corresponding period have increased.

This is due to lower supply (eg. from locked-in leases), as demand for renting across all flat types went up. The chart also shows consistent demand for larger flat sizes (5-rooms over 4-rooms).

In fact, between Q3 2021 and Q3 2022, 2-, 3-, 4-, 5-room and executive HDB flats in Punggol saw their average rent prices rise by 11.13%, 37.76%, 29.38%, 24.44% and 31.41% respectively.

Punggol Condo average rent prices comparison
Punggol Condo average rent prices comparison

Similarly, for private condos (excluding ECs), the average rental prices for all apartment sizes have increased across the board.

For example, 1-bedroom condo units in Punggol saw an 11.31% increase between Q3 2020 and Q3 2021 but rose 26.70% between Q3 2021 and Q3 2022. These are from Watertown and Parc Centros.

For the 2-, 3- and 4-bedroom apartments, average rental prices rose 30.27%, 33.23% and 33.06%, respectively, over Q3 2021-Q3 2022. These are mostly from A Treasure Trove, Parc Centros, River Isles, Watertown and Flo Residence.

For 5-bedroom+ apartments, as there are only four recorded transactions, prices are far more erratic. Still, there’s a 40% rise between Q3 2020 and Q2 2022. These are from A Treasure Trove and Parc Centros.

Punggol Executive Condo EC average rent prices comparison
Punggol Executive Condo EC average rent prices comparison

Finally, for executive condominiums (ECs) in Punggol, we see 2- and 3-bedroom EC units commanding higher average rent increases compared to 4-bedroom units over the past year.

Between Q3 2021 and Q3 2022, 2- and 3-bedders saw average rent prices rise 27.51% and 25.86%, respectively – signifying their popularity. Four-bedroom units rose at a much lower 2.68% over the same period, but that’s after some volatility due to lower supply.

What’s notable here is that transaction volumes for 3-bedroom EC units are on the rise, with 35 units rented in Q3 2022 as opposed to about 17 in Q3 2021. This trendline bucks what we’ve seen for HDBs and private condos – where volumes decreased due to short supply.

Most of these supplies are from Prive, Waterbay, Twin Waterfalls, Riverparc Residence, Waterwoods, The Terrace and Ecopolitan.

For 5-bedroom+ units, due to a much lesser supply, average rents surged 33.33% between Q3 2020 and Q3 2022. There were only four rental transactions from Waterbay and Ecopolitan.

Q3 2022 vs 2021: HDB, condo and EC rental transactions in Punggol

Top Recent (Q3 2022/October 2022) Rental Prices and Transactions in Punggol and Transacted Rents for the same room type in the area 12 months ago

Room Type

Project(s)

Recent Transaction Date

Monthly Rent (S$)

Project(s)

Transaction Date A Year Ago

Monthly Rent (S$)

S$ Increase between Periods Compared

Percentage Increase

2-room HDB

222A Sumang Lane

Oct 2022

2100

209C Punggol Place

August 2021

1900

200

10.53%

3-room HDB

212A Punggol Walk, 312A Sumang Link

Aug-Oct 2022

3200

672C Edgefield Plains

July 2021

2350

850

36.17%

4-room HDB

305D, 619B, 624B Punggol Drive, 668A, 661C Edgedale Plains, 624B Punggol Central

September/ October 2022

3700

306C Punggol Place

July 2021

3000

700

23.33%

5-room HDB

171C Edgedale Plains

Oct 2022

4000

120A Edgedale Plains

Aug 2021

3250

750

23.08%

Executive

117 Edgefield Plains

Oct 2022

3900

118 Edgefield Plains

July 2021

2600

1300

50.00%

1-bedroom 550-sqft Private Condo

Watertown

Aug 2022

3500

Watertown

August 2021

2,700

800

29.63%

2-bedroom, 950-sqft Private Condo

Watertown

Sept 2022

4300

Watertown

August 2021

3,400

900

26.47%

3-bedroom, 1,250-sqft Private Condo

A Treasure Trove

July 2022

5100

A Treasure Trove

July 2021

3,400

1,700

50.00%

4-bedroom, 1,350-sqft Private Condo

Parc Centros

Sept 2022

5800

Parc Centros

July 2021

3550

2250

63.38%

3-bedroom, 950-sqft EC

Twin Waterfalls

Sept 2022

4500

Twin Waterfalls

Aug 2021

2950

1550

52.54%

4-bedroom, 1,450-sqft EC

Prive

July 2022

5000

Prive

Aug 2021

3600

1400

38.89%

5-bedroom, 1,450-sqft EC

Waterbay

Aug 2022

4800

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

 

The chart above gives us a good snapshot of how rental prices for different flat and room types in the Punggol estate have risen over the past year.

For example, a year ago, a 2-room flat in 209C Punggol Place was rented out for S$1,900. Last October, a 2-room HDB flat in 222A Sumang Lane, just 1.5 kilometres away, was recently rented out for S$2,100 per month – a 10.53% rise.

Similarly, a year ago in July, a 3-room flat at 672C Edgefield Plains was rented out for S$2,350. About a year later, two separate 3-room HDB flats – one at 212A Punggol Walk and another at 312A Sumang Link – roughly 2km away – were rented out for S$3,200 each – an S$850 increase, or 36.17% more.

The shocker came from an Executive HDB flat in Edgefield Plains, which saw rent rose by S$1,300 (50%) from S$2,600 a year ago to S$3,900!

This is the same at private condos.

A 3-bedroom 1,250-sqft condo at A Treasure Trove was rented out for S$3,400 one year ago. In July 2022, it went for S$5,100 a month – a 50% increase. Also, a 4-bedroom 1,350-sqft condo at Parc Centros was rented out for S$3,550 in July last year. Last September, a similar unit was rented out for S$5,800 – a whopping S$2,250 increase, or 63.38%!

The story’s the same for ECs. A 3-bedroom, 950-sqft EC unit at Twin Waterfalls was rented out for S$2,950 in August last year. Last September, someone rented a similar unit for S$4,500 – a 52.54% increase.

The situation in Punggol across all flat and room types is just a snapshot of how rent in Singapore could get out of hand if not monitored and reigned in quickly.

Already, October 2022 rental figures show that average rents for HDB flats have increased by 4.64% since August.

While we’ve yet to capture and finalise rental figures for private condos and ECs in October, we reckon the percentage rise could only go up as the 30 September cooling measures have forced many caught by the restrictions to consider renting.

Good news for landlords – not so good news if you’re a tenant or looking to be one.

Average rent for Condo, EC and HDB - August 2022-October 2022
Average rent for Condo, EC and HDB - August 2022-October 2022

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990 sqft

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969 sqft

$4,300

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

North Park Residences Photo
North Park Residences Photo

North Park Residences

15 Yishun Ctrl 1 · D27

bedroom
bedroom

4

bathroom
bathroom

3

1,205 sqft

$6,700

FULLY FURNISHED

The Topiary Photo
The Topiary Photo

The Topiary

19 Fernvale Lane · D28

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

3

1,055 sqft

$5,000

FULLY FURNISHED

745 Woodlands Circle Photo
745 Woodlands Circle Photo

745 Woodlands Circle

Singapore 730745 · D25

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

2

1,313 sqft

$3,800

DIVERSITY FRIENDLY

La Fiesta Photo
La Fiesta Photo

La Fiesta

64 Sengkang Square · D19

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

3

990 sqft

$4,800

DIVERSITY FRIENDLY

845 Woodlands Street 82 Photo
845 Woodlands Street 82 Photo

845 Woodlands Street 82

Singapore 730845 · D25

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

2

904 sqft

$3,600

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Watertown Photo
Watertown Photo

Watertown

73 Punggol Ctrl · D19

bedroom
bedroom

1

bathroom
bathroom

1

560 sqft

$3,600

Watertown Photo
Watertown Photo

Watertown

73 Punggol Ctrl · D19

bedroom
bedroom

1

bathroom
bathroom

1

560 sqft

$3,600

FULLY FURNISHED

354 Kang Ching Road Photo
354 Kang Ching Road Photo

354 Kang Ching Road

Singapore 610354 · D22

bedroom
bedroom

4

bathroom
bathroom

2

1,200 sqft

$4,200

354 Kang Ching Road Photo
354 Kang Ching Road Photo

354 Kang Ching Road

Singapore 610354 · D22

bedroom
bedroom

4

bathroom
bathroom

2

1,300 sqft

$4,300

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

413 Yishun Ring Road Photo
413 Yishun Ring Road Photo

413 Yishun Ring Road

Singapore 760413 · D27

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

2

1,100 sqft

$3,400

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

The Tembusu Photo
The Tembusu Photo

The Tembusu

107D Tampines Rd · D19

bedroom
bedroom

2

bathroom
bathroom

2

753 sqft

$4,500

FULLY FURNISHED

329 Bukit Batok Street 33 Photo
329 Bukit Batok Street 33 Photo

329 Bukit Batok Street 33

Singapore 650329 · D23

bedroom
bedroom

2

bathroom
bathroom

2

1,205 sqft

$2,800

 

Properties for rent in the Mature Estates

See all listings

FULLY FURNISHED

Espada Photo
Espada Photo

Espada

48 St. Thomas Walk · D9

bedroom
bedroom

1

bathroom
bathroom

1

355 sqft

$3,800

DIVERSITY FRIENDLY

Margaret Ville Photo
Margaret Ville Photo

Margaret Ville

20 Margaret Dr · D3

bedroom
bedroom

1

bathroom
bathroom

1

463 sqft

$4,200

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Ardmore Residence Photo
Ardmore Residence Photo

Ardmore Residence

7 Ardmore Pk · D10

bedroom
bedroom

4

bathroom
bathroom

4

3,186 sqft

$37,000

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Seaside Residences Photo
Seaside Residences Photo

Seaside Residences

16 Siglap Link · D15

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

3

1,087 sqft

$6,500

FULLY FURNISHED

The Glades Photo
The Glades Photo

The Glades

20 Bedok Rise · D16

bedroom
bedroom

2

bathroom
bathroom

2

667 sqft

$4,800

DIVERSITY FRIENDLY

The Garden Residences Photo
The Garden Residences Photo

The Garden Residences

11 Serangoon Nth View · D19

bedroom
bedroom

2

bathroom
bathroom

2

829 sqft

$5,200

DIVERSITY FRIENDLY

Parc Esta Photo
Parc Esta Photo

Parc Esta

900 Sims Ave · D14

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

2

926 sqft

$6,500

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Parc Esta Photo
Parc Esta Photo

Parc Esta

914 Sims Ave · D14

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

2

958 sqft

$6,500

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

The Alcove Photo
The Alcove Photo

The Alcove

10 Lor 27 Geylang · D14

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

3

1,377 sqft

$5,500

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

The Scotts Tower Photo
The Scotts Tower Photo

The Scotts Tower

38 Scotts Rd · D9

bedroom
bedroom

1

bathroom
bathroom

1

646 sqft

$5,050

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Skyline @ Orchard Boulevard Photo
Skyline @ Orchard Boulevard Photo

Skyline @ Orchard Boulevard

23 Angullia Pk · D9

bedroom
bedroom

4

bathroom
bathroom

5

3,100 sqft

$25,500

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

The Meyerise Photo
The Meyerise Photo

The Meyerise

93 Meyer Rd · D15

bedroom
bedroom

4

bathroom
bathroom

4

1,819 sqft

$9,900

DIVERSITY FRIENDLY

Amber Skye Photo
Amber Skye Photo

Amber Skye

8 Amber Rd · D15

bedroom
bedroom

2

bathroom
bathroom

2

1,119 sqft

$6,000

FULLY FURNISHED

The Glades Photo
The Glades Photo

The Glades

16 Bedok Rise · D16

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

3

1,022 sqft

$5,800

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Gambir Ridge Photo
Gambir Ridge Photo

Gambir Ridge

Gambir Ridge · D19

bedroom
bedroom

2

bathroom
bathroom

2

710 sqft

$3,600

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Avila Gardens Photo
Avila Gardens Photo

Avila Gardens

15 Flora Rd · D17

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

2

1,303 sqft

$4,800

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Greenwood Mews Photo
Greenwood Mews Photo

Greenwood Mews

Greenwood Ave · D11

bedroom
bedroom

5

bathroom
bathroom

5

3,175 sqft

$13,800

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Orchard Scotts Photo
Orchard Scotts Photo

Orchard Scotts

7 Anthony Rd · D9

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

5

2,508 sqft

$13,000

FULLY FURNISHED

Heritage View Photo
Heritage View Photo

Heritage View

6 Dover Rise · D5

bedroom
bedroom

3

bathroom
bathroom

3

1,313 sqft

$7,777

PARTIALLY FURNISHED

Seaside Residences Photo
Seaside Residences Photo

Seaside Residences

10 Siglap Link · D15

bedroom
bedroom

2

bathroom
bathroom

2

764 sqft

$5,500

 

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