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In Less Than a Decade, You Won’t Be Able To Afford Homes in These 20 Arizona ZIP Codes

Elis Cora / iStock.com
Elis Cora / iStock.com

Arizona is becoming an increasingly popular state for people to move to, for its affordable cost of living and (mostly) temperate weather. Retirees have had the memo about Arizona for years, but more and more younger Americans have also been moving to the warm weather state.

The question is, will the state remain as affordable to live in now that more people are aware of it? The answer is maybe, depending on which ZIP codes you choose to buy a home in.

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To find out which ZIP codes will be out of reach for the average American to buy a home in less than a decade, GOBankingRates took the overall U.S. median home value and projected its growth and decline over 10 years using Zillow’s April 2024-25 one-year forecast. This projection was then compared to the projections of the 86 ZIP codes in Arizona that currently have home prices below the national median, with those rising above the national average in the next 10 years being deemed “a place you could no longer afford.”

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Read on to find out where you may want to avoid buying a home in Arizona.

Pgiam / Getty Images
Pgiam / Getty Images

85553 (Tonto Basin)

  • April 2024 home value: $322,395

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.30%

  • 2034 projected home value: $366,845

Pictured: Monument Valley

Find Out: Housing Market 2024: 50 Most Affordable Cities for Homebuyers

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mdurson / Getty Images/iStockphoto
mdurson / Getty Images/iStockphoto

85629 (Sahuarita)

  • April 2024 home value: $350,721

  • 1-year growth projection: 0.70%

  • 2034 projected home value: $376,060

Read Next: I’m a Real Estate Investor: 10 Places I Would Never Buy Property

DenisTangneyJr / Getty Images/iStockphoto
DenisTangneyJr / Getty Images/iStockphoto

85741 (Tucson)

  • April 2024 home value: $336,191

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.20%

  • 2034 projected home value: $378,784

Cheri Alguire / Shutterstock.com
Cheri Alguire / Shutterstock.com

85365 (Yuma)

  • April 2024 home value: $329,847

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.40%

  • 2034 projected home value: $379,046

Art Wager / Getty Images
Art Wager / Getty Images

85363 (Youngtown)

  • April 2024 home value: $331,185

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.40%

  • 2034 projected home value: $380,583

Pictured: Scottsdale

Check Out: Cheapest Places To Buy a Home in Every State

dszc / iStock.com
dszc / iStock.com

85716 (Tucson)

  • April 2024 home value: $347,849

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.10%

  • 2034 projected home value: $388,064

Cheri Alguire / Shutterstock.com
Cheri Alguire / Shutterstock.com

85367 (Yuma)

  • April 2024 home value: $335,116

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.50%

  • 2034 projected home value: $388,915

©Shutterstock.com
©Shutterstock.com

85035 (Phoenix)

  • April 2024 home value: $338,671

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.40%

  • 2034 projected home value: $389,186

halbergman / Getty Images/iStockphoto
halbergman / Getty Images/iStockphoto

85040 (Phoenix)

  • April 2024 home value: $336,321

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.50%

  • 2034 projected home value: $390,315

Explore More: 7 Locations Where Housing Prices Are Plummeting Post-Pandemic

halbergman / Getty Images
halbergman / Getty Images

85132 (Florence)

  • April 2024 home value: $353,426

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.00%

  • 2034 projected home value: $390,402

Pictured: Glendale

©Shutterstock.com
©Shutterstock.com

85735 (Tucson)

  • April 2024 home value: $347,332

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.20%

  • 2034 projected home value: $391,336

dszc / iStock.com
dszc / iStock.com

85301 (Glendale)

  • April 2024 home value: $338,388

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.50%

  • 2034 projected home value: $392,713

Pgiam / Getty Images/iStockphoto
Pgiam / Getty Images/iStockphoto

85017 (Phoenix)

  • April 2024 home value: $329,341

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.80%

  • 2034 projected home value: $393,662

For You: Don’t Buy a House in These 5 US Cities That Have Shrinking Populations and Fewer Buyers

AK2 / Getty Images
AK2 / Getty Images

85033 (Phoenix)

  • April 2024 home value: $341,615

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.50%

  • 2034 projected home value: $396,459

miroslav_1 / iStock.com
miroslav_1 / iStock.com

85019 (Phoenix)

  • April 2024 home value: $345,137

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.50%

  • 2034 projected home value: $400,545

85939 (Taylor)

  • April 2024 home value: $355,524

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.20%

  • 2034 projected home value: $400,566

Pictured: Scottsdale

halbergman / Getty Images
halbergman / Getty Images

85139 (Maricopa)

  • April 2024 home value: $358,911

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.20%

  • 2034 projected home value: $404,382

Be Aware: 5 Types of Homes That Will Plummet in Value in 2024

©Shutterstock.com
©Shutterstock.com

85031 (Phoenix)

  • April 2024 home value: $343,980

  • 1-year growth projection: 1.70%

  • 2034 projected home value: $407,139

dszc / iStock.com
dszc / iStock.com

86021 (Colorado City)

  • April 2024 home value: $329,698

  • 1-year growth projection: 2.80%

  • 2034 projected home value: $434,558

Pictured: Tuscon

DenisTangneyJr / Getty Images/iStockphoto
DenisTangneyJr / Getty Images/iStockphoto

86038 (Mormon Lake)

  • April 2024 home value: $358,364

  • 1-year growth projection: 2.30%

  • 2034 projected home value: $449,864

Pictured: Lake Havasu

Methodology: GOBankingRates took the overall U.S. median home value and projected its growth and decline over 10 years using Zillow’s April 2024-25 one-year forecast. This projection was then compared to the projections of the 86 zip codes in Arizona that currently have home prices below the national median, with those rising above the national average in the next 10 years (plus its projected growth rate over the same period) being deemed “a place you could no longer afford.” For each Arizona zip code over the next decade, GOBankingRates found the following factors: (1) year the Arizona zip code will become a “place you could no longer afford”; (2) projected home value for that year; and (3) US average projected home value for that year. NOTE: GOBankingRates does not expect growth in home value to stay stagnant at one current rate for the next decade, but using these constant figures gives us an idea where certain markets are heading without unforeseen market disruptors in the future. All data used to conduct this study was compiled and verified on May 29, 2024.

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This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com: In Less Than a Decade, You Won’t Be Able To Afford Homes in These 20 Arizona ZIP Codes