Singapore markets close in 7 hours 32 minutes
  • Straits Times Index

    -7.72 (-0.23%)
  • Nikkei

    -509.24 (-1.30%)
  • Hang Seng

    0.00 (0.00%)
  • FTSE 100

    -31.10 (-0.37%)
  • Bitcoin USD

    -1,751.32 (-2.52%)
  • CMC Crypto 200

    -34.27 (-2.28%)
  • S&P 500

    -39.17 (-0.74%)
  • Dow

    -605.78 (-1.53%)
  • Nasdaq

    -65.51 (-0.39%)
  • Gold

    -4.90 (-0.21%)
  • Crude Oil

    -0.08 (-0.10%)
  • 10-Yr Bond

    +0.0410 (+0.92%)
  • FTSE Bursa Malaysia

    -12.47 (-0.77%)
  • Jakarta Composite Index

    +36.34 (+0.51%)
  • PSE Index

    +52.77 (+0.80%)

CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

CVR Energy (CVI) has recently been on's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.

Over the past month, shares of this diversified holding company have returned +1.9%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.5% change. During this period, the Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry, which CVR falls in, has lost 7.8%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?

Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Rather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.


Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.

For the current quarter, CVR is expected to post earnings of $1.08 per share, indicating a change of -55.9% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -5.3% over the last 30 days.

For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $3.95 points to a change of -34.6% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed -1.9%.

For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $2.40 indicates a change of -39.2% from what CVR is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has remained unchanged.

With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for CVR.

The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:

12 Month EPS

12-month consensus EPS estimate for CVI _12MonthEPSChartUrl
12-month consensus EPS estimate for CVI _12MonthEPSChartUrl

Revenue Growth Forecast

While earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.

In the case of CVR, the consensus sales estimate of $2.4 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of -23.8%. The $9.49 billion and $8.22 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of -12.9% and -13.4%, respectively.

Last Reported Results and Surprise History

CVR reported revenues of $2.29 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of -3.7%. EPS of $1.44 for the same period compares with $0.02 a year ago.

Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.23 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +2.46%. The EPS surprise was +51.58%.

The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period.


Without considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.

While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.

The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an An is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.

CVR is graded A on this front, indicating that it is trading at a discount to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.

Bottom Line

The facts discussed here and much other information on might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about CVR. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) : Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on click here.

Zacks Investment Research