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Alaska Air (ALK) Incurs Q1 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates

Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK reported first-quarter 2023 loss of 62 cents per share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 48 cents. In the year-ago quarter, ALK incurred a loss of $1.33 per share.

Operating revenues of $ 2,196 million missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,202.5 million. The top line jumped 31% year over year, with passenger revenues accounting for 90.3% of the top line and increasing 31% owing to continued recovery in air-travel demand.

Passenger revenues totaled $1,984 million in the reported quarter. On a year-over-year basis, cargo and other revenues of $58 million remained flat year over year. Mileage plan other revenues grew 38% to $154 million.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

 

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Alaska Air Group, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Alaska Air Group, Inc. Quote

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Total revenue per available seat mile (a key measure of unit revenues) jumped 15% year over year to 13.98 cents. Yield increased 11% to 15.80 cents.

Reflecting the uptick in air-travel demand, consolidated traffic (measured in revenue passenger miles) rose 19% to 12.55 billion. To cater to this increased demand, capacity (measured in average seat miles) expanded 14% to 15.71 billion. Consolidated load factor (percentage of seats filled by passengers) increased 3.1 percentage points to 79.9% in the first quarter of 2023.

In the first quarter, total operating expenses (on a reported basis) escalated 27% year over year to $2,382 million, with aircraft fuel expenses, including hedging gains and losses, skyrocketing 92%.

Economic fuel price per gallon climbed 30% to $3.41. Consolidated operating costs per available seat mile (excluding fuel and special items) fell 1% year over year to 10.53 cents.

Liquidity

As of Mar 31, 2023, Alaska Air had $2,429 million of cash and marketable securities compared with $2,417 million at the end of December 2022.

ALK exited the first quarter of 2023 with long-term debt (net of current portion) of $1,795 million compared with $1,883 million at the end of December 2022. Debt-to-capitalization ratio was 48% compared with 49% at December 2022-end.

ALK generated $222 million in cash from operating activities in the first quarter.

ALK resumed the share repurchase program by purchasing 413,554 shares for $18 million in the first quarter.

Outlook

For the second quarter of 2023, Alaska Air expects capacity to improve by 6-9% from the year-ago reported figure. Cost per available seat mile, excluding fuel and special items, is expected to grow 1-3% year over year. Total revenues are anticipated to grow 2.5-5.5% year over year. ALK forecasts the economic fuel cost per gallon in the $2.95-$3.15 band. Adjusted pre-tax margin is anticipated to be between 14% and 17%.

For 2023, ALK continues to expect earnings per share of $5.50 to $7.50. The Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.70 lies within the guidance.

The adjusted pre-tax margin is anticipated to be between 9% and 12%, and the full-year tax rate is expected to be around 25%. The company continues to expect share repurchases of at least $100 million in 2023.

Currently, Alaska Air carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Performances of Other Transportation Companies

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.’s JBHT first-quarter 2023 earnings of $1.89 per share missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.04 and declined 17.5% year over year.

JBHT’s total operating revenues of $3,229.58 million also lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,434.4 million and fell 7.4% year over year. The downfall was due to declines in the volume of 25% in Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS), 5% in Intermodal (JBI) and 17% in Final Mile Services (FMS), and a 17% decline in revenue per load in Truckload (JBT). Revenue declines in ICS, JBI, FMS and JBT were partially offset by Dedicated Contract Services revenue growth of 13%.

JBHT’s total operating revenues, excluding fuel surcharges, decreased 10.2% year over year.

Delta Air Lines’ DAL first-quarter 2023 earnings (excluding 82 cents from non-recurring items) of 25 cents per share missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 29 cents. Volatile fuel price and unfavorable weather conditions led to this downtick. DAL reported a loss of $1.23 per share a year ago, dull in comparison to the current scenario, as air-travel demand was not so buoyant then.

DAL reported revenues of $12,759 million, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12,767.4 million. Driven by higher air-travel demand, total revenues increased 36.49% on a year-over-year basis.

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