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Academies Australasia Group Limited's (ASX:AKG) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

There wouldn't be many who think Academies Australasia Group Limited's (ASX:AKG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Consumer Services industry in Australia is very similar. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Academies Australasia Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:AKG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does Academies Australasia Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Academies Australasia Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Academies Australasia Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

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Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Academies Australasia Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Academies Australasia Group?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Academies Australasia Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 22% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Academies Australasia Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Academies Australasia Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Academies Australasia Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Academies Australasia Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.