Advertisement
Singapore markets open in 6 hours 16 minutes
  • Straits Times Index

    3,331.70
    +5.42 (+0.16%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,467.54
    -1.76 (-0.03%)
     
  • Dow

    39,145.83
    +33.67 (+0.09%)
     
  • Nasdaq

    17,757.51
    +39.85 (+0.22%)
     
  • Bitcoin USD

    60,911.94
    -1,036.76 (-1.67%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,267.99
    -15.80 (-1.23%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    8,225.33
    -22.46 (-0.27%)
     
  • Gold

    2,312.50
    -18.30 (-0.79%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    80.86
    +0.03 (+0.04%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.3180
    +0.0800 (+1.89%)
     
  • Nikkei

    39,667.07
    +493.92 (+1.26%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    18,089.93
    +17.03 (+0.09%)
     
  • FTSE Bursa Malaysia

    1,590.95
    +5.57 (+0.35%)
     
  • Jakarta Composite Index

    6,905.64
    +22.94 (+0.33%)
     
  • PSE Index

    6,313.11
    +14.06 (+0.22%)
     

The 7.7% return this week takes Skyline Champion's (NYSE:SKY) shareholders five-year gains to 171%

Skyline Champion Corporation (NYSE:SKY) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 12% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been very strong. In fact, the share price is 171% higher today. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

Since the stock has added US$300m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

View our latest analysis for Skyline Champion

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

ADVERTISEMENT

During the five years of share price growth, Skyline Champion moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. Indeed, the Skyline Champion share price has gained 40% in three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 19% each year. This EPS growth is higher than the 12% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. So you might conclude the market is a little more cautious about the stock, these days.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

A Different Perspective

Skyline Champion shareholders gained a total return of 16% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 22% a year, over half a decade) look better. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Skyline Champion is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like Skyline Champion better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com