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USD/JPY Price Forecast – US dollar pulls back again against yen

The US dollar initially tried to rally during the trading session on Friday, but found resistance at the top of the recent consolidation that we have been in. Overall, this is a market that looks as if it is trying to find support at the 61.8% Fibonacci level again.

The US dollar has initially tried to rally during the day on Friday but pulled back enough to find buyers at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. I think at this point, the market should continue to go higher if we can get the break out, perhaps reaching towards the ¥113 level. If we break down below the lows of the consolidation, then I think we could unwind quite drastically. Remember, this is a “risk on/risk off” type of currency pair, and I think that if we can get a bit of a boost to risk appetite out there, it’s likely that we continue to go much higher.

I think at this point it’s likely that the ¥113 level will offer significant resistance, but if we break above there then we will probably go back towards the top of the Fibonacci sequence, reaching towards the ¥114.50 level. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level quite often attracts a lot of buyers, so it’s a nice technical set up if it works. If it doesn’t, then we wipe out to the 100% Fibonacci retracement level, meaning that we could go much lower.

Expect a lot of choppiness, but if we can get some type of good catalyst out there, it should send this market much higher. Overall, I suspect that we could have a pretty wild week ahead of us as the markets worry about trade tariffs, interest rates, and the like.

USD/JPY Video 15.10.18

This article was originally posted on FX Empire

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