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SM Energy (SM) Shares Resilient Following Q1 Earnings Beat

SM Energy Company’s SM shares — which declined 11.2% after the announcement of better-than-expected first-quarter 2021 results on Apr 29 — have risen 12.6% since then. Investors expect production for the rest of the year to increase.

The company reported first-quarter adjusted loss of 5 cents per share, narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 23 cents. Notably, the bottom line remained flat with the year-ago period.

Quarterly revenues of $443.8 million increased from $355.7 million in the year-ago quarter and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $339 million.

The better-than-expected results can be attributed to an increase in realized commodity prices, and decreased costs and operating expenses. The positives were partially offset by a decline in production volumes.

SM Energy Company Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

SM Energy Company Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
SM Energy Company Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

SM Energy Company price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | SM Energy Company Quote

Operational Performance:

Total Production

SM Energy’s first-quarter production totaled 111.6 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d) (54% oil), down 18% from the year-ago level of 135.9 MBoe/d.

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Oil production decreased 14% year over year to 60.3 thousand barrels per day (MBbls/d). The company produced 239.4 million cubic feet per day of natural gas in the quarter, down 18% year over year. Natural gas liquids contributed 11.4 MBbls/d to total production volume, down 35% from the first-quarter 2020 level.

Realized Prices

Before the effects of derivative settlements, the average realized price per Boe was $42.11 compared with $28.64 in the year-ago quarter. Average realized price of natural gas surged 170% year over year to $4.16 per thousand cubic feet. Notably, average realized prices of oil increased 23% to $56.33 per barrel and that of natural gas liquids grew 98% from the prior-year quarter to $26.93.

Cost & Expenses

On the cost front, unit lease operating expenses decreased 2% year over year to $4.64 per Boe. In addition, transportation expenses fell to $2.94 per Boe from $3.11 in the year-ago quarter. However, general and administrative expenses increased 11% to $2.46 per Boe from the prior-year level of $2.22.

Total exploration expenses were $9.3 million, lower than the year-ago figure of $11.3 million. Hydrocarbon production expenses for the quarter were recorded at $100.9 million compared with the year-ago level of $119.6 million. Notably, total operating expenses for the quarter decreased to $654.8 million from the year-ago period’s $836.8 million.

Capex

Capital expenditure for the first quarter was recorded at $147.6 million, higher than the year-ago figure of $139.3 million. Notably, it generated free cash outflow of $27.9 million in the quarter versus the year-ago free cash flow figure of $80.5 million.

Balance Sheet

As of Mar 31, 2021, the company had $2,321.7 million in net debt but no cash and cash equivalents. It had total liquidity of $965 million.

Guidance

SM Energy's 2021 capital expenditure is expected within $650-$675 million. Total production will likely be in the range of 129-137 MBoe/d, signaling a rise from the 2020 level of 126.9 MBoe/d. Of the total output, 52-53% will likely be oil.

For 2021, the company expects lease operating expense within $4.50-$5 per Boe, indicating a significant improvement from the 2020 level of $3.97. Transportation costs will likely be in the range of $2.80-$3 per Boe, suggesting a decline from the 2020 figure of $3.06 per Boe. Exploration expense for 2021 is expected to be $50 million.

For second quarter, production is expected within 130-134 Mboe/d, of which 53-54% will likely be oil. Capital expenditure for the June quarter is projected in the range of $230-$240 million.

Zacks Rank & Stocks to Consider

The company currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Some better-ranked players in the energy space include National Energy Services Reunited Corp. NESR, NOW Inc. DNOW and Hess Corporation HES, each having a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

National Energy’s bottom line for 2021 is expected to rise 49.2% year over year.

NOW’s bottom line for 2021 is expected to rise 70.8% year over year.

Hess’ bottom line for 2021 is expected to surge 150.9% year over year.

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Hess Corporation (HES) : Free Stock Analysis Report

SM Energy Company (SM) : Free Stock Analysis Report

NOW Inc. (DNOW) : Free Stock Analysis Report

NATIONAL ENERGY (NESR) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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