Credit: Albert Chua/The Edge Singapore
SINGAPORE (EDGEPROP) - The Singapore retail market turned a corner in 4Q2021, with retail rents growing 0.6% during the quarter, reversing from the 2.7% decline recorded in 3Q2021. This marks the first increase logged in eight quarters.
The data, released by the URA on Jan 28, also showed retail prices increasing 1.9% in 4Q2021 after remaining unchanged in the previous quarter.
For the whole of 2021, rentals of retail space decreased by 6.8%, compared with the decrease of 14.7% in 2020, while prices of retail space decreased by 4.2%, marginally less than the 4.5% decrease logged in 2020.
Angelia Phua, JLL’s consulting director, research and consultancy, Singapore, believes that the retail property market is showing positive signs of an early-stage turnaround. She points out islandwide retail vacancy rates held stable and unchanged q-o-q at 8.1% in 4Q2021, on the back of firm occupier demand.
“Also, in 2021, vacancy rates fell 0.7 percentage points y-o-y to 8.1%. This was due to lower vacancy rates across all areas in the Central Region except for Downtown Core, and Outside Central Region (OCR),” she adds.
Cushman & Wakefield’s head of research Wong Xian Yang highlights that suburban retail vacancy rates continued to lower marginally to 6.1% in 4Q2021, the lowest rate seen in six years. This was underpinned by robust take-ups at newly developed suburban malls including Northshore Plaza and i12 Katong.
Meanwhile, the occupancy rate in the Orchard planning area grew for the second consecutive quarter to 88.7% in 4Q2021 from 88.4% in 3Q2021.
Retailer sentiment is expected to improve in the coming quarters, given current vaccination rates and the rollout of the booster shots.
Lam Chern Woon, head of research & consulting at Edmund Tie, anticipates suburban retail rents to continue leading the recovery in 2022, forecasting 5% to 10% rental growth.
Retail locations in Orchard and the CBD could also see improved performance in 2022 as cross-border travel progressively increases.
“There is every chance that retail rents island-wide will turn positive in the process of rebound, growing between 2% and 4% for the whole of the year,” says Leonard Tay, head of research at Knight Frank Singapore.