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Should You Retain Chubb Limited (CB) Stock in Your Portfolio?

Chubb Limited CB is well-positioned for growth, driven by a compelling portfolio, strong renewal retention, positive rate increases, strategic initiatives to fuel profitability and a solid capital position.

Earnings Surprise History

Chubb’s earnings beat estimates in each of the last four quarters, the average being 23.78%.

Return on Equity

Chubb’s return on equity in the first quarter of 2024 was 16.3%, which expanded 320 bps year over year and exceeded the industry average of 7.8%. Core operating return on tangible equity expanded 110 bps year over year to 13.7% in the first quarter of 2024.

Zacks Rank & Price Performance

Chubb currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Over the past year, the stock has gained 33.5% compared with the industry’s growth of 26.6%.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Optimistic Growth Projections

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Chubb’s 2024 revenues is pegged at $54.96 billion, implying a year-over-year improvement of 7.6%.

The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings per share and revenues indicates a year-over-year increase of 9.5% and 7.9%, respectively, from the corresponding 2024 estimates.

Earnings have improved 19.4% in the past five years, better than the industry average of 9.6%

Style Score

The company has a VGM Score of B. The VGM Score helps identify stocks with the most attractive value, the best growth and the most promising momentum.

Business Tailwinds

Chubb’s growth strategy encompasses increasing focus on capitalizing on the potential of middle-market businesses (both domestic and international), and enhancing traditional core packages and specialty products. The insurer has been making investments in various strategic initiatives that pave the way for long-term growth. It is focusing on cyber insurance that has immense room for growth.

Chubb’s inorganic growth story impresses as the insurer pursues mergers and acquisitions that diversify its compelling portfolio, add capabilities, expand its geographic footprint and add synergies. The addition of Cigna’s life and non-life insurance companies and acquiring more stake in Huatai Group, among others, bears testimony to the strategy.

Acquisitions have improved premium revenues, the major component of an insurer’s top line. Premiums should also benefit from commercial P&C rate increases, new business and strong renewal retention.

Improving operating cash flow, coupled with a better rate environment, is likely to aid investment income to grow. Management estimates second-quarter adjusted net investment income to be between $1.5 billion and $1.52 billion, with continued growth thereafter.

CB has an impressive dividend history that also set the stage for the 31st year of dividend hike. The board will propose a 5.8% hike at its annual meeting.

CB has a dividend yield of 1.3%, better than the industry average of 0.3%. This makes the stock an attractive pick for yield-seeking investors. It also has $3.33 billion remaining under its share buyback authorization.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 earnings has moved 0.2% north in the past 60 days, reflecting analyst optimism.

Stocks to Consider

Some better-ranked stocks from the property and casualty insurance industry are Arch Capital Group Ltd. ACGL, RLI Corp. RLI and NMI Holdings Inc NMIH. While Arch Capital and RLI Corp. sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) each, NMI Holdings carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Arch Capital has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average being 28.41%. In the past year, shares of ACGL have climbed 36.3%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ACGL’s 2024 and 2025 earnings has moved 5.1% and 3.3% north, respectively, in the past 30 days.

RLI Corp. has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in three of the trailing four quarters and missing in one, the average being 132.39%. In the past year, shares of RLI have gained 13%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RLI’s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 16.1% and 3.2%, respectively.

NMI Holdings has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average being 8.60%. In the past year, shares of NMIH have jumped 33.3%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NMIH’s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 9.1% and 8.3%, respectively.

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