Japanese Yen Sentiment Warns of Reversal - But When?

RELATED QUOTES

SymbolPriceChange
USDJPY=X102.4250-0.005

ssi_usd-jpy_body_Picture_16.png, Japanese Yen Sentiment Warns of Reversal - But When?

USDJPY – Retail forex traders have bought into recent US Dollar strength versus the Japanese Yen, which admittedly complicates our calls for a potential grind higher in the high-flying USDJPY.

Trade Implications – USDJPY: Recent retail sentiment moves in the USDJPY have caught us off-guard as the trading crowd almost always sells strength and buys weakness. The fact that most traders are long USDJPY as it trades at multi-year peaks complicates our trading biases, and indeed our sentiment-based Momentum2 system most recently got stopped out of a short position. One potential explanation is that retail traders are buying as the trend nears its end. Yet we’d need to see a much clearer price reversal to advocate selling into such impressive strength.

Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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ssi_usd-jpy_body_1a_2.png, Japanese Yen Sentiment Warns of Reversal - But When?

View how to automate the high-volatility Breakout2 Trading System via our previous article and webinar recording.

Auto trade the trend reversal-trading Momentum2system via our previous article and webinar recording.

Trade with strong trends via our Momentum1 Trading System and view an archived webinar

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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Market Data

  • Currencies
    Currencies
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1.2526-0.0001-0.01%
    USDSGD=X
    1.7302-0.0002-0.01%
    EURSGD=X
    2.1033-0.0002-0.01%
    GBPSGD=X
    81.7693+0.00190.00%
    SGDJPY=X
    6.1905+0.0004+0.01%
    SGDHKD=X
    2.5850+0.0002+0.01%
    SGDMYR=X
    9,116.9668-3.3359-0.04%
    SGDIDR=X
    4.9692-0.004-0.08%
    SGDCNY=X
    1.1684-0.0007-0.06%
    AUDSGD=X
  • Commodities
    Commodities
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1,295.80-7.90-0.61%
    GCQ14.CMX
    19.65+0.02+0.08%
    SIK14.CMX
    90.18-0.65-0.72%
    ^XAU
    3.04+0.02+0.51%
    HGK14.CMX
    104.59+0.83+0.80%
    CLK14.NYM
  • Bonds
    Bonds
    TreasuryYield (%)Yield Change
    1.73+0.08
    ^FVX
    2.72+0.08
    ^TNX
    3.52+0.06
    ^TYX

MARKET MOVERS

  • Most Actives
    Most Actives
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.115-0.002-1.71%
    B22.SI
    0.48+0.020+4.35%
    5GJ.SI
    2.27+0.090+4.13%
    5ME.SI
    2.190.0000.00%
    JS8.SI
    0.61+0.005+0.83%
    E5H.SI
  • % Gainers
    % Gainers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.162+0.034+26.56%
    5GF.SI
    0.20+0.034+20.48%
    5WD.SI
    0.59+0.050+9.26%
    L5I.SI
    0.28+0.020+7.69%
    C33.SI
    0.215+0.015+7.50%
    5UE.SI
  • % Losers
    % Losers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.103-0.010-8.85%
    5OS.SI
    0.112-0.008-6.67%
    5RC.SI
    0.355-0.025-6.58%
    KJ9.SI
    0.215-0.015-6.52%
    F9M.SI
    0.29-0.020-6.45%
    5PC.SI