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A giant hedge fund asked Wall Streeters what worries them most, and this is what they said

Two Sigma, the $30 billion hedge fund that uses artificial intelligence and advanced technologies to find investment opportunities, asked a bunch of Wall Streeters what they're worried about. More than 120 contributors responded, estimating the probability of nine different "tail risks."

"Not surprisingly, respondents (60 percent) cited a hard landing in China, defined as a GDP growth of less than 3 percent per year, as a tail risk that warrants concern," the note said.

Here is the key chart from the note:

Screen Shot 2016 02 24 at 10.18.04 AM
Screen Shot 2016 02 24 at 10.18.04 AM

(Two Sigma)

It is interesting to note that a hard landing in China is not the most immediate concern. That dubious honor goes to a market-liquidity event, where there is a 20% drop in a particular asset class.

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"Survey participants believe a market liquidity event poses the most imminent threat, with respondents assigning an almost 50 percent likelihood to such an occurrence within the next year," the note said.

Here is the chart on the timing of the risks:

Screen Shot 2016 02 24 at 10.18.53 AM
Screen Shot 2016 02 24 at 10.18.53 AM

(Two Sigma)

Note: An earlier version of this story incorrectly sourced the images to JPMorgan. This has been corrected.

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