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FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Jamie Saettele, CMT

12 November 2012 at 5:27 pm

Latest CFTC Release dated November 06, 2012:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)	52 week Percentile / Comment (if applicable)
US Dollar	12 – speculators flip to net long
Euro	88
British Pound	82
Australian Dollar	73
Japanese Yen	12 – speculators short position is consistent with turns towards Yen strength since 2010
Canadian Dollar	82
Swiss Franc	88 – speculators flip to net short
Gold	73
Silver	88
Copper	55
Crude	20

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A light blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A light red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Crosses above and below 0 are in bold. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts

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Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff – Black

Volume on bottom

US Dollar

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_usd.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_eur.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_gbp.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_aud.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_yen.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_cad.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_chf.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_gold.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_silver.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_copper.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

FOREX_Analysis_US_Dollar_Speculative_Positioning_Flips_to_Net_Long_body_crude.png, FOREX Analysis: US Dollar Speculative Positioning Flips to Net Long

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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