Forex Analysis: US Dollar Breaks with S&P 500 on Fed Policy Outlook

RELATED QUOTES

SymbolPriceChange
^USDOLLAR11,985.37+47.22

THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar pushed sharply higher despite a lack of support from risk appetite trends after the Fed signaled it may end QE faster than expected.

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices took out resistance at 10082, the 50% Fibonacci expansion. The bulls now target the 61.8% level at 10122, with a break above that that eyeing the 76.4% Fib at 10170. The 10082 level has been recast as near-term support. A reversal back below that exposes the 32.8%expansion at 10044.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Breaks_with_SP_500_on_Fed_Policy_Outlook_body_Picture_4.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Breaks with S&P 500 on Fed Policy Outlook

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices launched sharply higher in the aftermath of a deal to avert the fiscal cliff, taking out a falling trend line set from mid-September and exposing resistance at 1466.10. A break above that targets the 1471.60-1474.90 area marked by the October 5 and September 14 swing highs. Initial support is at 1450.10, the December 19 top, with a break below that eyeing the trend line at 1440.70 and a horizontal pivot at 1432.90.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Breaks_with_SP_500_on_Fed_Policy_Outlook_body_Picture_3.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Breaks with S&P 500 on Fed Policy Outlook

l Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices reversed sharply lower from resistance at a falling trend line set from late November, with sellers now probing below support at the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion (1649.37). A break of this boundary exposes the 50% level at 1635.24. Near-term resistance is at 1666.86, the 23.6% Fib.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Breaks_with_SP_500_on_Fed_Policy_Outlook_body_Picture_2.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Breaks with S&P 500 on Fed Policy Outlook

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Want to learn more about RSI? Watch this Video.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices are pulling back from resistance at 93.25, the 100% Fibonacci expansion. Near-term support is in the 91.23-92.01 area, marked by the 61.8% and 76.4% Fibs respectively. This barrier is reinforced by the formerly broken top of a rising channel top set from early November.A drop below 91.23 exposes the 90.00 figure. Alternatively, a reversal above 93.25 aims for the 123.6% expansion at 94.51.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Breaks_with_SP_500_on_Fed_Policy_Outlook_body_Picture_1.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Breaks with S&P 500 on Fed Policy Outlook

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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Market Data

  • Currencies
    Currencies
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1.3777-0.0039-0.29%
    USDSGD=X
    1.5373-0.0013-0.08%
    EURSGD=X
    2.0169-0.0039-0.19%
    GBPSGD=X
    80.5620+0.119+0.15%
    SGDJPY=X
    5.6384+0.0147+0.26%
    SGDHKD=X
    2.9907+0.0135+0.45%
    SGDMYR=X
    9,895.5820+28.3984+0.29%
    SGDIDR=X
    4.7750+0.0118+0.25%
    SGDCNY=X
    1.0005+0.0081+0.82%
    AUDSGD=X
  • Commodities
    Commodities
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1,213.90-2.80-0.23%
    GCQ16.CMX
    16.05-0.22-1.38%
    SIN16.CMX
    79.41-2.71-3.31%
    ^XAU
    2.11-0.01-0.35%
    HGN16.CMX
    49.51+0.18+0.36%
    CLN16.NYM
  • Bonds
    Bonds
    TreasuryYield (%)Yield Change
    1.39+0.04
    ^FVX
    1.85+0.03
    ^TNX
    2.65+0.02
    ^TYX

MARKET MOVERS

  • Most Actives
    Most Actives
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.295+0.015+5.36%
    N21.SI
    1.81-0.01-0.28%
    MC0.SI
    6.04-0.01-0.17%
    H78.SI
    1.02+0.01+0.99%
    C22.SI
    0.55+0.02+3.77%
    5ME.SI
  • % Gainers
    % Gainers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.55+0.10+22.22%
    BQP.SI
    0.165+0.015+10.00%
    K22.SI
    1.65+0.15+10.00%
    BAI.SI
    0.29+0.03+9.43%
    A30.SI
    0.39+0.03+8.33%
    CZ4.SI
  • % Losers
    % Losers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.50-0.09-15.25%
    AYB.SI
    0.435-0.060-12.12%
    AYV.SI
    0.305-0.040-11.59%
    BBP.SI
    0.152-0.019-11.11%
    BEH.SI
    0.285-0.035-10.94%
    S19.SI