Forex Analysis: Crowds Extremely Long US Dollar, May Continue Lower

Retail forex trading crowds have bought aggressively into US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) weakness against the Euro and broader counterparts. We’ll take a contrarian view in favor of further USD declines.

View individual currency sections:

EURUSD - Forex Crowds Sell Euro, We Favor Gains

GBPUSD - British Pound Poised for Further Strength

USDJPY - Japanese Yen Bounce Clouds Outlook

USDCHF - Swiss Franc Outlook Bullish

USDCAD - Canadian Dollar Forecast to Strengthen

AUDUSD - Australian Dollar Targets November Highs

ssi_table_story_1_body_Picture_8.png, Forex Analysis: Crowds Extremely Long US Dollar, May Continue Lower

The significant shift in trader sentiment has been enough to force our sentiment-based forex trading strategies to sell the US Dollar across the board. Yet this is with the important caveat that retail crowds are often most net-long at the bottom of the market.

We’ll keep a close eye on whether the USDOLLAR is able to trade above psychologically significant resistance at the 10000 mark. If we do indeed see a USD breakout, it might serve as short-term confirmation of an important reversal.

ssi_table_story_1_body_Picture_7.png, Forex Analysis: Crowds Extremely Long US Dollar, May Continue Lower

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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Market Data

  • Currencies
    Currencies
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1.3782-0.0034-0.25%
    USDSGD=X
    1.5364-0.0022-0.14%
    EURSGD=X
    2.0143-0.0065-0.32%
    GBPSGD=X
    80.5991+0.1561+0.19%
    SGDJPY=X
    5.6360+0.0124+0.22%
    SGDHKD=X
    2.9940+0.0168+0.56%
    SGDMYR=X
    9,900.7393+33.5557+0.34%
    SGDIDR=X
    4.7769+0.0137+0.29%
    SGDCNY=X
    0.9988+0.0064+0.65%
    AUDSGD=X
  • Commodities
    Commodities
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1,214.10-2.60-0.21%
    GCQ16.CMX
    16.12-0.15-0.92%
    SIN16.CMX
    79.41-2.71-3.31%
    ^XAU
    2.10-0.01-0.57%
    HGN16.CMX
    49.47+0.14+0.28%
    CLN16.NYM
  • Bonds
    Bonds
    TreasuryYield (%)Yield Change
    1.39+0.04
    ^FVX
    1.85+0.03
    ^TNX
    2.65+0.02
    ^TYX

MARKET MOVERS

  • Most Actives
    Most Actives
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.295+0.015+5.36%
    N21.SI
    1.81-0.01-0.28%
    MC0.SI
    6.04-0.01-0.17%
    H78.SI
    1.02+0.01+0.99%
    C22.SI
    0.55+0.02+3.77%
    5ME.SI
  • % Gainers
    % Gainers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.55+0.10+22.22%
    BQP.SI
    0.165+0.015+10.00%
    K22.SI
    1.65+0.15+10.00%
    BAI.SI
    0.29+0.03+9.43%
    A30.SI
    0.39+0.03+8.33%
    CZ4.SI
  • % Losers
    % Losers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.50-0.09-15.25%
    AYB.SI
    0.435-0.060-12.12%
    AYV.SI
    0.305-0.040-11.59%
    BBP.SI
    0.152-0.019-11.11%
    BEH.SI
    0.285-0.035-10.94%
    S19.SI