FOREX ANALYSIS: Australian Dollar Likely Topped

ssi_gbp-jpy_body_Picture_1.png, FOREX ANALYSIS: Australian Dollar Likely Topped

AUDUSD – Retail forex traders are now net-long the Australian Dollar versus the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) for the first time in a month, and the sharp shift in retail sentiment warns that the AUDUSD may have set a significant top through recent trading.

A sharp Australian Dollar sell-off from the November high was the first signal that the AUD may have set a significant peak, and we’ve likewise seen the number of retail traders long AUDUSD surge 32 percent since the peak. A similar 28 percent tumble in the number of traders short now leaves crowds at a net-long AUD position for the first time since October.

We use our proprietary Speculative Sentiment Index data as a contrarian indicator to price action; if the majority of traders are buying, we prefer to sell. Indeed, our retail sentiment-based FX trading strategies took a AUDUSD short from $1.0378.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive the Speculative Sentiment Index and other reports from this author via e-mail, sign up for his distribution list via this link.

New to FX markets? Learn more in our video trading guide.

Contact David via

Twitter at https://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFX

Facebook at http://www.Facebook.com/DRodriguezFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.

--

Get stories like this on the Yahoo app and discover more every day.
Download it now.
Loading...
 
Recent Quotes
Symbol Price Change % Chg 
Your most recently viewed tickers will automatically show up here if you type a ticker in the "Enter symbol/company" at the bottom of this module.
You need to enable your browser cookies to view your most recent quotes.
 
Sign-in to view quotes in your portfolios.

Market Data

  • Currencies
    Currencies
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1.4067-0.002-0.14%
    USDSGD=X
    1.5698-0.0022-0.14%
    EURSGD=X
    2.0415-0.001-0.05%
    GBPSGD=X
    83.2916+0.2824+0.34%
    SGDJPY=X
    5.5357+0.0091+0.16%
    SGDHKD=X
    2.9579+0.0042+0.14%
    SGDMYR=X
    9,678.7852+13.8447+0.14%
    SGDIDR=X
    4.6748+0.0067+0.14%
    SGDCNY=X
    0.9975+0.0002+0.02%
    AUDSGD=X
  • Commodities
    Commodities
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1,165.50+8.00+0.69%
    GCJ16.CMX
    14.93+0.07+0.51%
    SIH16.CMX
    55.30+2.68+5.09%
    ^XAU
    2.08-0.05-2.23%
    HGH16.CMX
    30.99-0.73-2.30%
    CLH16.NYM
  • Bonds
    Bonds
    TreasuryYield (%)Yield Change
    1.250.00
    ^FVX
    1.85-0.02
    ^TNX
    2.68-0.02
    ^TYX

MARKET MOVERS

  • Most Actives
    Most Actives
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.33+0.02+4.76%
    N21.SI
    3.70+0.22+6.32%
    Z74.SI
    1.68+0.05+3.07%
    MC0.SI
    0.385+0.010+2.67%
    E5H.SI
    0.705+0.025+3.68%
    G13.SI
  • % Gainers
    % Gainers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.405+0.065+19.12%
    T4B.SI
    0.475+0.075+18.75%
    Y06.SI
    0.23+0.03+15.00%
    S9B.SI
    0.40+0.05+14.29%
    BJE.SI
    0.144+0.014+10.77%
    AWS.SI
  • % Losers
    % Losers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.34-0.05-12.82%
    MN5.SI
    0.118-0.012-9.23%
    AWO.SI
    0.205-0.020-8.89%
    AYL.SI
    0.505-0.045-8.18%
    A05.SI
    0.193-0.017-8.10%
    S71.SI