EM ASIA FX-Singapore dlr drives Asia FX lower as MAS move may fan regional easing
* Singapore dollar lowest since August 2010
* Singapore c.bank reduces slope of policy in sudden move
* Ringgit, baht fall ahead of c.bank meetings
(Adds details, updates prices)
By Jongwoo Cheon
SEOUL, Jan 28 (Reuters) - The Singapore dollar on Wednesday
hit its weakest in nearly four and a half years, driving losses
among emerging Asian currencies, as regional central banks may
follow the city-state's unexpected monetary policy easing to
tackle deflation.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) reduced the slope
of its monetary policy band ahead of its scheduled review in
April. The central bank also cut its inflation forecast for the
year.
Singapore manages monetary policy by controlling the
exchange rate, rather than borrowing costs, because trade
dominates the economy.
The surprise move sent the Singapore dollar to
1.3570 per U.S. dollar, its weakest since August 2010, on hedge
funds selling.
Malaysia's ringgit and Thailand's baht
also fell, reflecting perceived risks that the central banks of
those countries could surprise with interest rate cuts later in
the day.
"Bank of Thailand is a potential candidate. We see risks of
a move today," said Jonathan Cavenagh, senior FX strategist with
Westpac in Singapore, when asked if other central banks will
ease.
South Korea's central bank is also expected to cut its
interest rate, he added.
A number of central banks have eased their monetary policy
in recent days to cope with deflation and prop up economies,
leading to speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve could take
a dovish turn in its post-meeting statement after this week's
meeting.
SINGAPORE DOLLAR
Analysts now assume the MAS's slope in the Singapore dollar
nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) appreciation is at 1
percent per annum, compared to their previously thought 2
percent appreciation.
They are revising down the Singapore dollar's targets.
Andy Ji, Asian currency strategist for Commonwealth Bank of
Australia in Singapore, expected more stimulus in April.
"Another re-centering is still on the cards. It may be
possible to ease further in April," Ji said.
MAS earlier said that it would continue to stick with a
policy of allowing the Singapore dollar to appreciate modestly
and gradually against a basket of currencies, although it would
reduce the slope of appreciation.
The city-state's currency has been suffering from a sluggish
economy and slowing inflation. Some investors had already
expected the central bank to ease monetary policy in the
upcoming review in April.
The Singapore dollar was the second-worst performing
emerging Asian currency after the Malaysian ringgit so far this
year with a 1.9 percent depreciation, according to Thomson
Reuters data.
RINGGIT
The ringgit fell, tracking the weakness in the neighbouring
Singapore dollar.
The Malaysian currency found some relief as investors sold
the Singapore dollar against the ringgit.
Still, the ringgit stayed under pressure on risks of a
central bank rate cut later in the day.
Bank Negara is expected to keep its key interest rate
unchanged at 3.25 percent, as the country's economy
remains at risk from a slump in oil prices and a weakened
currency, a Reuters poll showed.
BAHT
The baht fell as offshore funds and local traders, betting a
rate cut later in the day.
"What the MAS did today may put pressure on the BOT," said a
Thai bank currency trader in Bangkok.
In a Reuters survey on Monday, the Bank of Thailand was
expected to leave its policy interest rate steady at 2.00
percent.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0405 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 118.13 117.85 -0.24
Sing dlr 1.3515 1.3389 -0.93
Taiwan dlr 31.209 31.325 +0.37
Korean won 1085.40 1079.80 -0.52
Baht 32.63 32.53 -0.30
Peso 44.17 44.06 -0.25
Rupiah 12500.00 12473.00 -0.22
Rupee 61.51 61.40 -0.19
Ringgit 3.6235 3.5975 -0.72
Yuan 6.2470 6.2435 -0.06
Change so far in 2015
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 118.13 119.66 +1.29
Sing dlr 1.3515 1.3260 -1.89
Taiwan dlr 31.209 31.718 +1.63
Korean won 1085.40 1099.30 +1.28
Baht 32.63 32.90 +0.83
Peso 44.17 44.72 +1.25
Rupiah 12500.00 12380.00 -0.96
Rupee 61.51 63.03 +2.47
Ringgit 3.6235 3.4965 -3.50
Yuan 6.2470 6.2040 -0.69
(Editing by Eric Meijer)