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Does Milan Station Holdings Limited’s (HKG:1150) Past Performance Indicate A Weaker Future?

Assessing Milan Station Holdings Limited’s (SEHK:1150) performance as a company requires looking at more than just a years’ earnings data. Below, I will run you through a simple sense check to build perspective on how Milan Station Holdings is doing by comparing its most recent earnings with its historical trend, in addition to the performance of its specialty retail industry peers. View our latest analysis for Milan Station Holdings

Was 1150’s recent earnings decline indicative of a tough track record?

I look at the ‘latest twelve-month’ data, which annualizes the most recent half-year data, or in some cases, the latest annual report is already the most recent financial year data. This method enables me to examine different stocks on a similar basis, using the most relevant data points. For Milan Station Holdings, its most recent bottom-line (trailing twelve month) is -HK$80.78M, which, in comparison to the previous year’s figure, has become more negative. Since these values are somewhat short-term thinking, I’ve determined an annualized five-year figure for Milan Station Holdings’s earnings, which stands at -HK$32.15M. This doesn’t seem to paint a better picture, as earnings seem to have consistently been getting more and more negative over time.

SEHK:1150 Income Statement May 26th 18
SEHK:1150 Income Statement May 26th 18

We can further analyze Milan Station Holdings’s loss by looking at what the industry has been experiencing over the past few years. Each year, for the last five years Milan Station Holdings has seen an annual decline in revenue of -16.63%, on average. This adverse movement is a driver of the company’s inability to reach breakeven. Has the entire industry experienced this headwind? Looking at growth from a sector-level, the HK specialty retail industry has been growing its average earnings by double-digit 17.21% in the previous year, . This is a change from a volatile drop of -2.43% in the previous couple of years. This shows that whatever uplift the industry is enjoying, Milan Station Holdings has not been able to gain as much as its industry peers.

What does this mean?

Though Milan Station Holdings’s past data is helpful, it is only one aspect of my investment thesis. With companies that are currently loss-making, it is always difficult to envisage what will occur going forward, and when. The most valuable step is to assess company-specific issues Milan Station Holdings may be facing and whether management guidance has consistently been met in the past. You should continue to research Milan Station Holdings to get a better picture of the stock by looking at:

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  1. Financial Health: Is 1150’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.

  2. Valuation: What is 1150 worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 1150 is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 31 December 2017. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.