Fed Officials Are Divided on the Significance of the Yield Curve
While most Fed officials agreed on the need to keep raising rates and the concerns posed by the trade disputes, there was disagreement among them regarding the significance of the yield curve. Some participants argued that in the United States (SPY) (IVV), the inverted yield curve has often preceded recessions. As such, they think that the significance of an inverted yield curve may have declined compared to historical records.