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Koppers Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KOP) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Koppers Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KOP) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript May 3, 2024

Koppers Holdings Inc. misses on earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.593 EPS, expectations were $0.61. Koppers Holdings Inc. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Koppers First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn the call over to Quynh McGuire. Please go ahead.

Quynh McGuire: Thanks and good morning. I'm Quynh McGuire, Vice President of Investor Relations. Welcome to our first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. We issued our press release earlier today. You may access it via our website at www.koppers.com. As indicated in our announcement, we have also posted materials to the Investor Relations page of our website that will be referenced in today's call. Consistent with our practice in prior quarterly conference calls, this is being broadcast live on our website and a recording of this call will be available on our website for replay through August 3, 2024. At this time, I would like to direct your attention to our forward-looking disclosure statement seen on Slide 2. Certain comments made on this conference call may be characterized as forward-looking statements as defined under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

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These forward-looking statements involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, including risks described in the cautionary statement included in our press release and in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking statements included in the company's comments, you should not regard the inclusion of such information as a representation that its objectives, plans and projected results will be achieved. The company's actual results, performance or achievements may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during this call.

References may also be made today to certain non-GAAP financial measures. The press release, which is available on our website, also contains reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Joining me for our call today are Leroy Ball, Chief Executive Officer of Koppers; and Jimmi Sue Smith, Chief Financial Officer. I will now turn over the discussion to Leroy.

Leroy Ball: Thank you, Quynh. Good morning, everyone. I'll start by saying the obvious, which is that despite best efforts from the global Koppers team, our first quarter financial results were a disappointment. While we expected adjusted EBITDA will be lower year-over-year and signaled that in February, we fell short of our forecast and the consensus estimate by about 5%. Now, as expected, our Performance Chemicals business and our Railroad and Utility Products and Services business, both showed strong year-over-year growth in sales and profitability. Those impressive gains, however, were more than negated by slumping CMC markets, in particular, in North America. An unplanned outage at our facility in Stickney, Illinois, caused by weather-related factors that contributed to higher costs early in the quarter, was far from the only factor, but ultimately made the challenging market dynamics even more difficult to offset.

Now, in these sorts of situations, we typically get help elsewhere to mitigate difficulties that we're encountering in specific parts of our portfolio. And while some help did come in the form of slightly better-than-expected Q1 performance from our PC business, that ended up getting washed away by a poorer-than-expected outcome from our railroad maintenance-of-way business. Now, as I'll talk about later in my commentary, I believe that 2024 will still be a strong step forward for Koppers in our quest to reach our 2025 financial commitments, and we are taking additional measures to improve our chances of finishing towards the high end of our revised guidance for this year. We will take this opportunity, however, where we seem to be facing more uncertainty than since the pandemic to temper our expectations slightly for the balance of this year.

Now let's take a quick look at the headline numbers for the first quarter as seen on Slide 4. Consolidated sales totaled $497.6 million compared with $513.4 million in the prior-year quarter. We generated adjusted EBITDA of $51.5 million compared with $61.5 million in the prior-year quarter. Now, as I mentioned, most of that drop was expected and factored into our projections, but we did finish about 5% off our internal projections. Those numbers work out to an adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.3% compared with 12% in the prior-year quarter. We had diluted earnings per share of $0.59 compared with $1.19 in the prior-year quarter, and adjusted earnings per share were $0.62 compared with $1.12 in the prior-year quarter. Moving to Slide 6, now that shows some key results related to our Zero Harm 2.0 program to re-energize employee engagement at the front lines and accelerate our progress towards zero incidents.

First quarter saw a 16% increase in the number of leading activities over the prior-year quarter. We've talked in the past about how injuries have a negative correlation to the leading activities, and so that as leading activities go up, injuries and incidents typically go down. And for the most part, we continue to see that as our recordable injury rate continues to trend once again to an all-time best mark. Now, of our 45 facilities around the world, 34 operated accident-free in the first quarter with the following operations having zero recordable incidents, Australasia CMC, Australasia PC, Europe CMC, and Europe Performance Chemicals. These safety efforts help to reduce our overall recordable injury rate by 7%, currently at its lowest ever rate through Q1.

Now I'd like to turn it over to Chief Financial Officer, Jimmi Sue Smith, to talk with you about first quarter financials.

Jimmi Sue Smith: Thanks, Leroy. Earlier today we issued a press release detailing our first quarter 2024 results. My comments this morning are based on that information. On Slide 8, we had consolidated first quarter sales of $498 million, down $16 million or 3.1% from the prior-year quarter. By segment, RUPS sales increased $12 million or 5.6%, PC sales increased $3 million or 2.2%, while CM&C sales decreased $31 million, or 20.2% from the prior-year quarter. On Slide 9, adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $52 million, resulting in a 10.3% margin. By segment, RUPS generated an adjusted EBITDA of $18 million with a 7.9% margin, PC delivered adjusted EBITDA of $30 million, a 19.9% margin, and CM&C reported adjusted EBITDA of $4 million, with a 3.3% margin.

On Slide 10, the RUPS business achieved record first quarter sales of $225 million compared to $213 million in the prior-year quarter. This increase in sales can be attributed to $9.6 million of volume increases for crossties and a net $8.1 million of pricing increases across multiple markets, particularly for crossties and domestic utility poles. These increases were partly offset by lower activity in our maintenance-of-way businesses and a 4.2% volume decrease in our domestic utility pulp business, stemming from temporary customer overstock and budget realignment. Market prices for untreated crossties are stable but remain relatively high. First quarter crosstie procurement was up 2% from the prior-year quarter, and crosstie treatment was 7% higher.

Adjusted EBITDA for RUPS was $18 million, compared with $16 million in the prior-year quarter. Profitability increased due primarily to net sales price increases and $3.7 million from improved plant utilization. These gains were partly offset by $10.6 million of higher costs related to operating expenses, raw materials and SG&A expenses. Margins for our tie business increased slightly this quarter, reflecting some price increases, but continue to significantly underperform our pole business. On Slide 11, our Performance Chemicals business delivered strong first quarter sales of $150 million compared to $147 million in the prior-year quarter. This increase came as a result of volume increases of $6.8 million in the current-year period, including a 6.1% volume increase in the Americas, primarily for our copper-based preservatives.

These increases were partly offset by $3.3 million of lower prices in the Americas and Australasia, driven by lower raw material costs. Adjusted EBITDA for PC was $30 million for the quarter compared with $26 million in the prior-year quarter. Profitability in this business benefited from volume increases, while the lower sales prices were offset by a decrease in raw material costs. On Slide 12, you see our first quarter sales in CM&C of $122 million compared with $153 million in the prior-year quarter. This decline was caused by $28.6 million of lower sales prices across most products. This includes carbon pitch, where prices were down 24.6% globally, along with $11.5 million of lower volume of carbon pitch and carbon black feedstock. The decreases in carbon pitch prices and volumes were driven by reduced market demand in the current-year period, partly offset by volume increases for phthalic anhydride.

Adjusted EBITDA for CM&C in the first quarter was $4 million compared with $19 million in the prior-year quarter as a result of lower prices and volumes combined with a weather-related January outage at our North American plant. These negatives were partly offset by 18.6% in lower raw material costs in North America and Europe. Sequentially, the average pricing of major products is 2% lower and the average coal tar costs are 8% lower. Compared to the prior-year quarter, the average pricing of major products is down 18%, while average coal tar costs are down 16%. Slide 14 illustrates our continued balanced approach to capital allocation with $25.8 million of capital invested back into our business in the first quarter. Net capital expenditures for the year are forecast to be $80 million to $90 million.

We continue to return capital to shareholders through a quarterly dividend of $0.07 share and to focus on our net leverage with $820 million in net debt and approximately $340 million in available borrowings at March 31, 2024. This is a net leverage ratio of 3.3 times as of March 31, and is indicative of where we expect to exit the year in the low 3 times. However, we do anticipate leverage to increase to the high 3 times in the second and third quarters as a result of borrowings to complete the acquisition of Brown Wood. We remain committed to our long-term target of 2 times to 3 times net leverage ratio and confident in our ability to grow and generate cash. Slide 15 details the recent repricing and upsize of our seven-year $397 million senior secured Term Loan B due April 10, 2030.

This transaction reduced the interest rate margin applicable to the TLB by 50 basis points and removed the 10 basis points credit spread adjustment from the TLB pricing structure. In addition, the TLB was upsized at par by $100 million increasing the principal balance to $497 million as of April 12, 2024. Proceeds from the Term Loan B will be used for general corporate purposes and to reduce borrowings under our revolving credit facility, including the recent borrowings to fund the acquisition of Brown Wood. We experienced strong market demand for our TLB, and are pleased with the enhanced liquidity and financial flexibility this transaction provides the company. We spent $25.8 million net on capital expenditures in the first quarter as seen on Slide 16.

Excluding cash proceeds, the total was $26.3 million. Of that, we spent $14.3 million on maintenance, $1.1 million on Zero Harm, and $10.9 million on growth and productivity initiatives. By business segment, we spent $13.5 million on RUPS, $3.2 million on PC, and $7.9 million on CM&C, along with $1.7 million on corporate projects. On Slide 18, as announced on May 2, our Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.07 per share of Koppers common stock. This dividend will be paid on June 10 to shareholders of record as of the close of trading on May 24. At this planned quarterly dividend rate, subject to review by the Board of Directors, the annual dividend will be $0.28 per share for 2024, a 17% increase over the 2023 dividend.

And with that, I'll turn it back over to Leroy.

A worker in safety gear loading railroad ties on a truck, emphasizing the importance of manual labor.
A worker in safety gear loading railroad ties on a truck, emphasizing the importance of manual labor.

Leroy Ball: Thanks, Jimmi Sue. Let's take a quick look at some notable happenings. As seen on Slide 20, we issued our 2023 annual report and proxy statement, which are available on our Koppers website. You can also access these materials using the QR codes as shown. As seen on Slide 21, we recently completed the acquisition of Brown Wood Preserving company, bringing its assets into our UIP portfolio. This transaction enables us to increase our presence in existing markets and offers an attractive entry point to new geographic markets for our utility pull business, which we believe continues to have strong macro trends supporting growth potential for the foreseeable future. The integration of the Brown Wood team and related capabilities is well underway.

We're very pleased to welcome them into the Koppers family. Slide 22 shows the added capacity at our facility in Leesville, Louisiana. We now have a new pole peeler and kiln in place, increasing our peeling and drying capacity to cost effectively serve an underserved geographic market, where we have historically lacked a presence. The Leesville site is close to sources of raw material, and once poles are peeled and dried, they're sent to our underutilized treatment facility in Somerville, Texas. Having this operation in place will improve our production efficiencies as well as expand our presence in new utility markets, such as Texas. Now, onto review of each of the businesses. Now, I'll start with Performance Chemicals on Page 24. Q1 for our PC business played out almost exactly as we had planned it heading into the year.

We projected flat residential volumes for the year, and in Q1, they finished off by about 1%. As anticipated, we realized the annualization of new residential and industrial business in Q1 that will temper as the year progresses. Adding Brown Wood as an internal customer will have some negative impacts on our year-over-year sales dollars and volume comparisons, but we still expect better year-over-year industrial business due to some customer additions in 2023. Even though the pole market seems to be taking a temporary breather from the frantic pace in 2023, which I'll touch upon when I cover UIP, the overall backdrop for the industrial markets remains strong and should underpin our expected continued growth in this market segment in 2024 and beyond.

From an operations standpoint, our new micronizing capacity has been completed and should begin its first production in May, which will help reduce operating costs in the back half of the year. On the raw materials side, copper prices have taken a significant uptick in April and are up 17% thus far this year. This should not generally have an impact on our results this year as we're fully hedged for our 2024 requirements. However, it could complicate discussions for 2025 contract extensions as these higher costs will need to be passed on through the supply chain if they don't revert back to the price band in which they have fluctuated during 2023. And while we remain cautious on the demand outlook for the remainder of 2024, we're not adjusting our original expectations.

If demand continues to be in line with our original expectations, we think we can generate at least a few million more in profitability above our original expectation for the year of $7 million, and instead, finish with an EBITDA improvement of somewhere between $9 million to $11 million. And moving on to our Utility and Industrial Products business, shown on Page 25. Both in the US as well as globally, Q1 produced record first quarter profitability, although only nominally higher than the record Q1 in 2023. Excluding our entry into the Texas market, lower volumes had an approximate 7% impact on sales for the first quarter. Now we were able to make that up with $2.6 million in price, some of our worst first real sales into Texas, and better cost management at the plants to bring results in for the quarter slightly ahead of last year.

Contributing to the better cost was the new drying capacity that came online in December, which enabled us to take more capacity in-house. The second half of the 2.5 million cubic feet of drying capacity is scheduled to come online in Q2 and will help our cost position further. The volume drop we experienced in the first quarter was not broad-based, but isolated among a segment of our customer base that panic-bought in 2023 as the hot infrastructure market and its various funding mechanisms set the industry off on a buying spree. Now, for those that exhibited more patients, they're sitting on a normal inventory level, and we're seeing regular order patterns. But those who worried about treating industry bottlenecks affecting their projects, widened their net of supply to ensure they got everything they wanted and a little bit more.

These customers are now sitting on higher inventories they need to work through. That situation has been made a little harder by projects that have been slower to get off the ground, due in some cases to delays in grant funding and higher interest rates. Now, whether it's a quarter or two, demand levels will pick back up to where they were, and I believe that those with a strong network of assets like Koppers will be in the best position to benefit. I want to continue to stress that the long-term fundamentals of this business remain strong due to the macro trends of aging infrastructure, grid hardening, broadband expansion, electrification and the expansion of renewable energy that will continue to drive a healthy demand for utility poles. Finally, on the UIP front, as I previously mentioned, we closed on Brown Wood on April 1st, and have been familiarizing ourselves with their operations and customer base.

This quarter will be spent finishing some of their in-process projects and sorting out opportunities to redirect sales, resources and open doors with new accounts. And while we expect this acquisition to contribute $15 million in EBITDA from a base business standpoint in 2025, meaning pre-synergies, we're conservatively modeling only $8 million into our 2024 results as we work to get that business fully integrated. Now, our Railroad Products and Services business is summarized on Page 26. Despite the Rail business contributing to our year-over-year increase in profitability in RUPS, higher operating costs and a worse-than-expected first quarter from our maintenance-of-way business prevented them from having an even more positive impact on results.

Part of the operating cost increase resulted from weather-related impacts, while other increases came from higher labor costs in the form of headcount, rates and overtime. The increased labor costs were driven by the need to rebuild inventories up from historically low levels brought on by the railroad's decisions to defer purchasing during the hardwood market of 2021 and 2022. Now we're still continuing to pay literally for the decisions made by certain customers that despite our best efforts, we could not influence, one of the fundamental flaws of the current contract model that needs to change. As a critical supplier, we need to provide ourselves better protections against the whims of railroad purchasing groups, which we will do through the next contract cycle or else we will have fundamentally different relationships.

At Koppers, we go to great teams to ensure that our customers receive top-quality ties that will last for their expected life and provide a safe base for them to transport their goods. That comes at a cost. Certain railroads have understood the value of quality over price and have been willing to pay for it as demonstrated by their agreement to price increases, while also under contract to help us cover the historic inflationary cost increases all companies have seen over the past several years. Others have elected not to do so. As a result, we've revisited our business model to align it with our customers' true priorities. For some, that's quality and service. For others, it's pure price. To be clear, Koppers will not compromise safety or product quality, but we've probably been going too far to satisfy what the industry says it values, and we need to shift our focus and priorities to producing a product that's in line with what certain customers behaviors say about what they really value, which is price.

As you might be able to infer by my comments, even though we realized some pricing benefit in Q1 from adjustments that went into effect throughout last year, we still haven't been able to reach an agreement with all of our contracted customer base. So, we're going to begin approaching things from the other side of the income statement and go hard at costs, which means that we won't be doing anything that isn't explicitly called for under our contracts. In the meantime, we continue to explore other uses for our treating assets, so that we can get back to earning our cost of capital on our investments if we can't figure out a way to make it work with certain rail customers. As for tie volumes, demand met expectations in Q1 and will still be better than 2023 although slightly less than original projections.

Commercial demand remains as robust as it's been in many years and is still expected to be a strong contributor to 2024 results. Finally, our maintenance-of-way business detracted from our Q1 improvement by over $1 million in EBITDA, and will be a net negative to our year-over-year results for the remainder of the year, but to a lesser extent than what was seen in the first quarter. In February, we projected $12 million of year-over-year improvement for our Rail plus Utility or RUPS business. Our current projections are being modified to a range of $10 million to $18 million of improvement in EBITDA from 2023. Now that range includes $8 million of net contribution from the Brown Wood acquisition, which would imply a $2 million to $10 million reduction of our base estimate, driven by lower projected sales volumes in the rail business combined with the localized excess inventory in the utility business.

Finally, on to the CMC business, which is summarized on Page 27. Despite what looks like a poor first quarter compared to last year's Q1, we actually only finished $3 million in EBITDA off of our expectations for global CM&C. And while Europe and Australia came in slightly better than expected in Q1, North America drove the negative variance. Even with higher phthalic anhydride volumes, which received a boost due to backfilling for another producer's outage, we endured higher plant costs due to weather-related unplanned downtime early in the year, higher raw material costs working their way through inventory, and lower pitch volumes and plant throughput. Pitch volumes and throughput will likely be an issue throughout the year, so we need to reduce costs to offset that headwind, which we're in the process of doing.

We're projecting some raw material cost relief beginning in Q2, which will work its way through the cost of goods over the remainder of the year, and we're working hard to see if we can reduce our raw material costs further. We also expect a continued benefit from elevated phthalic anhydride volumes to last into the second quarter, which will provide at least a short-term benefit. For the remainder of 2024, given the Q1 shortfall and lack of end market visibility beyond the next quarter or two, we're bringing our full year EBITDA expectations for global CM&C down to $5 million to $10 million below 2023, compared to our original projection earlier this year of EBITDA remaining flat for this segment. We believe that the aluminum markets in the US have hit their trough, and we will see improved demand sometime in the not-too-distant future.

We just can't say exactly when. The recent momentum around tariffs on steel and aluminum will have a positive impact on our business as it helps drive more US production of those materials. Longer term, Century Aluminum's announcement of their intention to build a new aluminum smelter in the US is great news for US manufacturing and a positive sign that there will always be a critical need for primary aluminum production in the US, and therefore, a need for Koppers' carbon-based products. Moving to our 2024 guidance on Slide 29, we're maintaining consolidated sales growth of 4% to 5%. RUPS sales overall are projected to see $160 million in top-line increase with contributions from Brown Wood and higher sales in RPS, partially offset by short-term pullback in utility volumes.

PC sales are forecasted to be flat year-over-year. And CM&C sales are estimated to decrease by $60 million due primarily to price and volume declines in carbon pitch, partially offset by volume increases in phthalic anhydride. Overall, our sales forecast for 2024 is approximately $2.25 billion compared with $2.15 billion in 2023. On Slide 30, we're now targeting a range of $265 million to $280 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2024, which includes $8 million from the Brown Wood acquisition. While we expect CM&C to show definite improvement for the remainder of this year, making up the first quarter shortfall will be difficult unless there's an uptick in our end markets before year-end. We're pursuing several initiatives for long-term improvement in CM&C, but most will not materialize until 2025.

All options for improving the CM&C business are on the table and decisions will be made in short order. On the positive side, we're projecting that our PC business will sustain its first quarter outperformance through the rest of the year and likely add to it. On Slide 31, a strong contribution from operations including the Brown Wood acquisition to adjusted EPS will be offset somewhat by depreciation and amortization and interest, which are both coming in a little higher than originally forecast. For the year, we expect to finish 2024 with a range of $4.10 and $4.60 share, with the upper end of that range representing a new high for Koppers. On Slide 32, we're reducing our capital spending estimate to a range of $80 million to $90 million in 2024, compared with $116 million in 2023 on a net basis.

Required spending on maintenance and Zero Harm has been cut by $14 million from our beginning-of-year estimate, and is now estimated to be $57 million with approximately $23 million to $33 million dedicated to our growth and productivity projects. We're continuing to target operating cash flows of $150 million, and uses of cash will also include our dividend and some share repurchases that we may do to offset share dilution. We're still preparing for the termination of our US pension plan, which would result in a top-up contribution of approximately $25 million, but the majority of that is now expected to occur in the first quarter of 2025. Slide 33 shows the path to our goal of $315 million to $325 million and adjusted EBITDA by 2025, which reflects the contributions from the Brown Wood acquisition.

I recognize that there are many moving parts to our business that sometimes make it difficult to fully understand our short-term prospects at any given moment. But I truly believe that our diversity is one of our most underappreciated strengths that we will continue to realize the benefits of as time goes on and that our 2025 goals remain squarely within our sights. Now, I would like to open it up to questions.

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