|Bid||15.00 x 40000|
|Ask||15.25 x 1200|
|Day's range||15.05 - 15.49|
|52-week range||9.53 - 16.13|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.77|
|PE ratio (TTM)||19.97|
|Forward dividend & yield||0.51 (3.39%)|
|1y target est||16.21|
First, while China’s steel demand has likely peaked, the country’s copper demand could continue to rise. Copper’s supply dynamics are also different from some of the other metals like steel and aluminum that face structural and chronic overcapacity, especially in China. Most observers expect copper markets to enter into a structural supply deficit in the next decade as existing mines fail to churn out enough metal to meet the demand.
U.S. stock indexes were down in late morning trade, but Brazil stocks were rising on Sunday's strong showing of a pro-business candidate.
Vale S.A (VALE) will likely deliver better results in the second half of 2018 aided by growing volumes at S11D mines and lower costs.
After the 2015 commodity crash, mining companies like Glencore (GLNCY) and Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) had to suspend their dividend programs. While miners have restored their dividends, they have chosen a flexible dividend policy. Glencore announced its dividend policy.
When the cycle turns for the worse and commodity prices fall, mining companies’ free cash flows also fall. There isn’t much that mining companies can do when commodity prices fall. After the 2008–2009 economic crisis, we saw a sharp rally in metal prices. Copper prices briefly topped the $10,000 per metric ton level in 2011.
Apple's gain from an initial breakout at 118.12 on Jan. 6, 2017, is more than 90%. On Wednesday, transportation, oil, banking and mining stocks also shined.
Rise in global steel production, demand for higher iron ore grade and increased liquidity is likely to strengthen Vale SA's (VALE) competency, going forward.
BHP Billiton Limited (BHP) is poised to gain from its focus on investment plans across iron ore, copper, coal and petroleum.
Among the major gold mining and gold streaming companies, Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), the world’s largest precious metals streaming company, has received the highest percentage of “buy” recommendations at 100%. That level hasn’t changed much over the past year.
Copper miners including Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) and Glencore (GLEN-L) are having a terrible year, as copper prices have lost ~20% year-to-date. Copper miners might not get a reprieve anytime soon. Costs have risen for copper mining companies pretty much across the board.
As we discussed in the previous part, trade war concerns are a short-term risk for copper prices (XME). However, the long-term outlook seems positive given the supply-demand dynamics. Along with the macro scenario, Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) also faces uncertainty about its Grasberg operations. Although the company announced a non-binding head of agreement with the Indonesian government, it still needs to sign a definitive agreement and address the environmental claims made by the Indonesian government. In this part, we’ll discuss Freeport-McMoRan’s valuation given its risk-return trade-off.
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), the leading US-based copper miner (DIA), is having a tough year. The stock has lost 27.7% YTD (year-to-date) based on the closing prices on September 12. Other copper miners are also feeling the heat. Copper is caught in the US-China trade war. Copper prices are hovering near $6,000 per metric ton. In June, copper rose past $7,200 per metric ton to a four-year high.
Today, J.P. Morgan (JPM) upgraded Rio Tinto (RIO), believing that demand from China (FXI) should pick up over the coming months. It also believes that miners’ valuations are cheap compared to the same stages of previous cycles.
Of the 14 analysts covering Rio Tinto (RIO) stock, 57.0% recommend a “buy,” 29.0% recommend a “hold,” and 14.0% recommend a “sell.” One year ago, 80.0% of analysts recommended a “buy.”
On August 31, Vale SA (VALE) had returned 7.9% year-to-date. Lately, Brazilian stocks are being pressured due to economic and political issues facing the country. The Brazilian real has been under tremendous pressure against the US dollar, which led to a widespread sell-off. The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) has lost ~20.0% so far this year in light of these concerns.
According to the consensus compiled by Thomson Reuters, 17 analysts cover BHP Billiton (BHP) stock. Of these analysts, 53.0% recommend a “buy,” 41.0% recommend a “hold,” and 6.0% recommend a “sell” for BHP stock.
China (FXI) is the world’s largest steel consumer. Therefore, to gauge the outlook for iron ore, it’s vital to look at China’s steel demand indicators. The real estate and automotive sectors are the two largest steel end consumers in China. In this part, we’ll discuss these factors in more detail.
Wheaton has made two streaming deals so far this year. Taken together, they make the stock an increasingly attractive precious metals option.
Has Trade War Affected China’s Steel and Iron Ore Demand? Stronger steel demand is the key driving factor behind the rising output. While steel margins are still strong due to robust demand, concerns over the Chinese growth outlook were weighing on steel prices.
Has Trade War Affected China’s Steel and Iron Ore Demand? In the previous article, we discussed that Chinese iron ore imports remained stronger despite the trade war fears in July. The stronger imports are primarily due to the robust steel production in the country.
China consumes more than 70% of seaborne-traded iron ore, so it’s important for iron ore investors to track the country’s demand and outlook to gauge the overall outlook for iron ore. After dropping by 12% YoY (year-over-year) in June, China’s iron ore imports rose 4.2% YoY to 89.96 million tons in July, which is a rise of 8.0% sequentially.
Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks.
Investors in Vale S.A. (VALE) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately.