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Why Exxon Mobil (XOM) Could Be Positioned for a Slump

Similar to wise buying decisions, exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.

One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM, which has witnessed a significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and the current year. A Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) further confirms weakness in XOM.

A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen five estimates moving down in the past 30 days, compared with no upward revisions. This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going from $3.65 per share a month ago to its current level of $3.21 per share.

Also, for the current quarter, Exxon Mobil has seen two downward estimate revisions versus no revisions in the opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to 92 cents a share from $1.03 per share over the past 30 days.   

The stock also has seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the share price has dropped 10.3% in the past month.

Exxon Mobil Corporation Price and Consensus

Exxon Mobil Corporation Price and Consensus
Exxon Mobil Corporation Price and Consensus

Exxon Mobil Corporation price-consensus-chart | Exxon Mobil Corporation Quote

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So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon to wait.

If you are still interested in the Oils - Energy sector, you may instead consider a better-ranked stock - Ameresco, Inc. AMRC. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and may be a better selection at this time. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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