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Why Aspen Technology (AZPN) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Zacks Equity Research

Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider, Aspen Technology, Inc. (AZPN), a firm in the Computer-Software industry, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, AZPN has beaten estimates by at least 45.0% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, AZPN expected to earn 15 cents per share, while it actually produced earnings of 25 cents per share, a beat of 66.67%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of 17 cents per share, when it actually saw earnings of 25 cents per share instead, representing a 47.06% positive surprise.

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Aspen Technology. In fact, the Earnings ESP for AZPN is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for AZPN, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 11.77%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that AZPN has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. And when you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that AZPN could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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ASPEN TECH INC (AZPN): Free Stock Analysis Report


Zacks Investment Research