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Progressive (PGR) Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y

The Progressive Corporation’s PGR first-quarter 2020 earnings per share of $1.17 missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 19.3%. The bottom line deteriorated 36% year over year.

The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Progressive Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | The Progressive Corporation Quote

Behind the Headlines

Net premiums written were $9.9 billion in the quarter under review, up 7% from the year-ago period. Net premiums earned grew 11% year over year to $9.4 billion.

Net realized loss on securities was $553.6 million against the year-ago gain of $414.5 million.

Operating revenues were $9.9 billion, up 11.1% year over year. The improvement was owing to an 11% increase in premiums and 18% growth in fees and other revenues as well as 21% increase in service revenues. The top line however missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5%.

Total expenses increased 9% year over year to $8.4 billion driven by 7% rise in losses and loss adjustment expenses, 10% increase in policy acquisition costs, 20% higher other underwriting expenses and 25% increase in service expenses.

Combined ratio — percentage of premiums paid out as claims and expenses — improved 190 basis points (bps) from the prior-year quarter’s level to 86.9%.

March Results

In March, policies in force were impressive at the Personal Auto segment, having improved 10% from the year-ago month to 15.3 million. Special Lines improved 4% from the prior-year month’s figure to 4.6 million.

In Progressive’s Personal Auto segment, Direct Auto grew 11% year over year to 8.1 million while Agency Auto improved 8% year over year to 7.2 million.

Progressive’s Commercial Auto segment rose 7% year over year to 0.7 million. The Property business had about 2.3 million policies in force in the reported month, up 13% year over year.

Financial Update

Progressive’s book value per share was $23.68 as of Mar 31, 2020, up 19% year over yar.

Return-on-equity for March 2020 was 28.5%, having contracted 190 bps year over year. Debt-to-total capital ratio deteriorated 60 bps year over year to 27.3% as of Mar 31, 2020.

Zacks Rank

Progressive currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Upcoming Releases

RLI Corp. RLI is slated to announce first-quarter earnings on Apr 21.

The Travelers Companies, Inc. TRV is scheduled to release first-quarter earnings on Apr 21.

Brown and Brown Inc. BRO is set to report first-quarter earnings on Apr 27.

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