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Can Monolithic (MPWR) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates?

Monolithic Power (MPWR) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company's earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company.

The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this chipmaker, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. Our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- has this insight at its core.

The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.

Consensus earnings estimates for the next quarter and full year have moved considerably higher for Monolithic, as there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising estimates.

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Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions

For the current quarter, the company is expected to earn $3.49 per share, which is a change of +69.42% from the year-ago reported number.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Monolithic has increased 12.77% over the last 30 days, as seven estimates have gone higher compared to no negative revisions.

Current-Year Estimate Revisions

For the full year, the earnings estimate of $12.56 per share represents a change of +68.59% from the year-ago number.

The revisions trend for the current year also appears quite promising for Monolithic, with eight estimates moving higher over the past month compared to no negative revisions. The consensus estimate has also received a boost over this time frame, increasing 10%.

Favorable Zacks Rank

The promising estimate revisions have helped Monolithic earn a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.

Bottom Line

While strong estimate revisions for Monolithic have attracted decent investments and pushed the stock 37.3% higher over the past four weeks, further upside may still be left in the stock. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away.


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