Stocks gain as traders look to central bank decisions

How major markets are performing on Tuesday

In this article:

The FTSE 100 and European markets rose on Tuesday, as investors look to key central bank decisions later in the week.

  • The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) rose 0.4% by the closing bell, supported by DIY retail giant Kingfisher (KGF.L). B&Q owner Kingfisher gained 10.5% as its results hit expectations and it said it had gained market share in the UK and Poland.

  • The DAX (^GDAXI) was up 0.5% in Germany and France's CAC (^FCHI) rose 0.5%.

  • In the US, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) moved up roughly 0.4%, coming off a record-high close for the blue-chip index. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) added about 0.4%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) put on 0.7%.

  • Traders have their eyes trained on central bank decisions later in the week from the Bank of England and Federal Reserve.

  • It's widely thought the Fed will move to cut rates as it meets today and tomorrow. Money markets have upped the odds on a jumbo 50 basis-point cut as economic data heads in the right direction.

  • Investors were weighing data that showed retail sales surpassed Wall Street's estimates in August, with the focus on signs of a slowdown in consumer spending. The reading is the last piece of data that could factor into the Fed's thinking on opting for a substantial rate cut rather than a quarter-point move.

  • The Bank of England will also announce its interest rate decision on Thursday. Threadneedle Street moved to cut rates in August — the first reduction since the pandemic. It is expected to hold on Thursday.

LIVE COVERAGE IS OVER12 updates
  • Thanks for reading!

    That's all from me. Head over to our US site for more market moving news and updates on the Fed. Cheers!

  • Oil rallies from 16-month low

    Here's Axel Rudolph, senior technical analyst at online trading platform IG:

    "The near 8% recovery rally in the crude oil price from last week's 16-month low, as the latest CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that traders are the least bullish oil in over a decade, seems to have legs. WTI is trading back around the $70 per barrel mark as Brent crude oil flirts with the $73 level. The gold price remains close to Monday's record high, made near the psychological $2,600 per troy ounce mark, amid more probable central bank buying."

  • How US stocks are faring after the opening bell

  • Bond markets beware

    We have new research that suggests there could be a lot to play for in bond markets when the Bank of England reveals its next policy move on Thursday.

    The current pace of government bond sales by the Bank of England could cost the Treasury up to £96bn over the next four years, the study found.

    As the market looks to Threadneedle Street's policy announcement on Thursday, the pace of "quantitative tightening" (QT) will be in focus for government officials and taxpayers alike.

    There has been speculation that the Bank may increase the speed of QT from the expected £100bn to £120bn — a rate that would cost the taxpayer over £28bn per year, £4.5bn a year more than current speed.

    Read more about what that means here

  • Apple's lost billions

    One of our trending tickers for the day, Vicky McKeever writes:

    The world's most valuable company Apple saw billions wiped off its market capitalisation on Monday, after an analyst warned of weak demand for its new iPhone 16.

    Shares in the tech company were down nearly 3% at market close on Monday, taking its market valuation to $3.29tn (£2.49tn).

    TF International Securities’ analyst Ming-Chi Kuo said in a post on Medium that he had calculated first-weekend pre-order sales for the iPhone 16 to be an estimated 37 million units, around 12.7% lower than first-weekend sales of the iPhone 15 last year.

    He said: "One of the key factors for the lower-than-expected demand for the iPhone 16 Pro series is that the major selling point, Apple Intelligence, is not available at launch alongside the iPhone 16 release."

    The iPhone 16 is due to hit store shelves on 20 September, but its generative artificial intelligence (AI) platform Apple Intelligence is set to begin its rollout as a software update for US English users in October.

    Maxim Group managing director and senior consumer internet analyst Tom Forte told Yahoo Finance on Monday: "I think the challenge for Apple, as reflected in those reports, is that they're trying to get a consumer to buy new hardware, which is coming out in the month of September.

    "But the best-selling point for that hardware, especially for consumers in the US — Apple Intelligence, the AI-related features — those aren't coming out until beta next month."

  • And here's that cable chart

  • Pound higher against the dollar ahead of central bank decisions

    Pedro Goncalves writes:

    The pound (GBPUSD=X) has rallied against the dollar, with the US currency trading near its lowest levels of the year as the US Federal Reserve prepares to deliver a rate cut.

    It is all but certain that the Fed will deliver a cut on Wednesday and investors are speculating about the size of it.

    A 25 basis point drop would be a pivotal move, as many investors hope the decision could lower borrowing costs for companies and improve overall earnings growth.

    However, a more aggressive 50 basis point cut would mark the biggest single rate cut in 16 years and the need for such a big reduction would spark concerns of economic trouble ahead.

    Former New York Fed president Bill Dudley said there's a "strong case" for a deeper cut as FOMC members attempt to manoeuvre a "soft landing" of the economy. This view, combined with reports from the Financial Times and the Wall Street Journal indicating a split among policymakers, has heightened expectations for a 50 basis point reduction.

    READ MORE

  • Energy regulator fines Ovo £2.4m, customers to receive payout

    The UK's energy regulator has fined Ovo £2.4m after an investigation that found it has not been dealing with customer complaints correctly.

    Issues included long delays in dealing with complaints for nearly 1,400 customers, according to Ofgem.

    Those affected will receive an average of £271 in compensation. Ovo will also pay £2m to the Energy Industry Voluntary Redress Scheme.

    “Consumers deserve a clear and timely response when they make a complaint, and that’s why we stepped in quickly when we identified that Ovo’s performance was falling below acceptable standards," said Jacqui Gehrmann, deputy director of retail compliance at Ofgem.

    An Ovo spokesperson said: "We recognise that a particular group of our customers in 2023 waited longer than we’d like for a resolution and were overdue a response from us, so we’ve sent them a letter of apology and compensation to help.”

  • Overnight in Asia

    Markets in China and South Korea were closed on Tuesday for the holiday.

    The Nikkei (^N225)charted a course lower in Japan, falling amid jitters about central bank decisions later in the week.

    The US Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates for the first time in about four years.

  • How US stocks are faring in premarket

  • Monday in the US: Apple's drag on tech stocks

    Stocks traded mixed on Monday, with tech names struggling ahead of a crucial week dominated by expectations for the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut in four years.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell about 0.5%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up more than 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.5%, after strong weekly wins for the major stock gauges. A 6% surge in Intel (INTC) stock helped push the Dow to a record high close of 41,622.08.

    Elsewhere, techs were under pressure as Apple (AAPL) shares lost ground amid concerns about iPhone 16 sales. The megacap's stock was down about 3% following analysts' findings that early demand for the recently updated smartphone is lagging 2023 levels.

    More broadly, stocks are diverging amid rising bets that the Fed will opt for a more drastic 50 basis point cut in its monetary policy decision on Wednesday at the end of its two-day meeting.

  • Good morning!

    Hello again from London. Lucy Harley-McKeown here, ready to publish the markets news of the day.

    This morning we've already had B&Q owner Kingfisher's results. Traders are still looking ahead to a host of central bank decisions later in the week.

    Let's get to it.

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