Have you been paying attention to shares of Hub Group (HUBG)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 9.2% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $74.95 in the previous session. Hub Group has gained 30.6% since the start of the year compared to the 9.8% move for the Zacks Transportation sector and the 16.9% return for the Zacks Transportation - Services industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on May 5, 2021, Hub Group reported EPS of $0.51 versus consensus estimate of $0.46.
For the current fiscal year, Hub Group is expected to post earnings of $3.32 per share on $4.06 billion in revenues. This represents a 51.6% change in EPS on a 16.01% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $3.94 per share on $4.3 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 18.72% and 6.1%, respectively.
Hub Group may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Hub Group has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are B and D, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 22.5X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 12.1X versus its peer group's average of 12.1X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Hub Group currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Hub Group meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Hub Group shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.
How Does Hub Group Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of Hub Group have been moving higher, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also solid potential picks, including Deutsche Post (DPSGY), Matson (MATX), and XPO Logistics (XPO), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.
The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 24% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Hub Group, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.
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Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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