Combine the EURUSD and USDJPY pictures, and you get quite the bearish EURJPY painting. Shorts over the last few days are in good shape but expect a market response at/near 10157. This level is defined by the 100% extension of the 10459-10217 decline and intersects channel support today. Additional levels of interest are the 38.2% retracement of the rally from 9411, at 10060 and the 161.8% extension of the mentioned bear leg at 10008. 10240 and 10280 are estimated resistance levels.
AUDUSD and NZDUSD-a first attempt to short NZDUSD was stopped at breakeven last night but both commodity crosses are showing signs of exhaustion (intraday JS Spikes) at important levels (10494 is the 100% extension of the rally from 10148 in AUDUSD and 8299 is the 9/28 JS Spike close in NZDUSD). My interest is piqued and I’ll be monitoring both pairs closely.
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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.