Despite the failure to reach a final agreement on a joint banking supervisor in yesterday’s meeting of European finance ministers, the Euro still climbed higher in yesterday’s session and rose above 1.3100 in the first part of today’s trading. Risk sentiment seems to be higher as the move was mimicked by other risk-correlated currencies, and European equities opened higher in today’s trading. Part of the optimism may come from Asian markets, where the Shanghai Composite index climbed nearly 3% in today’s trading, following an announcement that economic policies will be kept stable in China.
There were only a few economic releases in today’s European session. The 10th straight decline in Euro-zone composite output was not as bad as initially estimated, and the rise in UK services activity disappointed expectations.
The bigger decline came when sales of Spanish 3, 7, and 10-year bonds disappointed a maximum target of 4.5 billion Euros by only raising 4.25 billion in the auction. Then, Euro-zone retail sales were reported to have declined 1.2% in October, the disappointing number kept EURUSD below 1.3100.
The Euro is currently trading at about 1.3085 against the US Dollar in forex markets. Resistance could be provided by a 2-month high at 1.3139, and support could be provided at 1.3026, by the 76.4% retracement of the drop from October’s high to November’s low.
Tomorrow could see a lot of movement in Euro trading. The ECB will announce the interest rate at 12:45 GMT, expectations are for the rate to be left at 0.75%. Also, an updated estimate of the Euro-zone GDP for Q3 will be released, the previous estimate saw a 0.1% decline.
EURUSD Daily: December 5, 2012
--- Written by Benjamin Spier, DailyFX Research