Forex Analysis: US Dollar Reverses Higher as S&P 500 Tests Support

RELATED QUOTES

SymbolPriceChange
^USDOLLAR11,971.56-7.60

THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar has mounted a formidable reversal while S&P 500 technical positioning hints at weakness, hinting the greenback may see upward follow-through.

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices are testing above resistance at 9995, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, after completing a bullish Flag pattern. A confirmed break higher exposes the 32.8% Fib at 10044. Trend line resistance-turned-support is at 9961.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Reverses_Higher_as_SP_500_Tests_Support_body_Picture_4.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Reverses Higher as S&P 500 Tests Support

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick below falling trend line resistance set from the September 14 high (1444.40), hinting a move lower is ahead. Negative RSI divergence reinforces the case for a downside scenario. Sellers are now testing through initial rising channel support at 1423.50, with a confirmed break downward on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1408.80. Alternatively, a reversal above the trend line aims for the channel top at 1455.90.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Reverses_Higher_as_SP_500_Tests_Support_body_Picture_3.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Reverses Higher as S&P 500 Tests Support

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices are testing the 100% Fibonacci expansion at 1630.97, a barrier reinforced by the bottom of a falling channel carved out since mid-September. A further drop below this boundary aims for the 123.6% Fib at 1601.78. The 76.4% expansion at 1659.90 lines up as near-term resistance, with a move above that targeting the 61.8% mark at 1677.84.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Reverses_Higher_as_SP_500_Tests_Support_body_Picture_2.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Reverses Higher as S&P 500 Tests Support

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Want to learn more about RSI? Watch this Video.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern below resistance at the top of what may prove to be a bearish Flag chart pattern (90.47). A daily close below the setup’s bottom at 86.10 would act as confirmation, initially exposing 81.63 as the next downside objective. Alternatively, a reversal above 90.47 targets trend line resistance at 93.92.

Forex_Analysis_US_Dollar_Reverses_Higher_as_SP_500_Tests_Support_body_Picture_1.png, Forex Analysis: US Dollar Reverses Higher as S&P 500 Tests Support

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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Market Data

  • Currencies
    Currencies
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1.3461-0.0002-0.02%
    USDSGD=X
    1.4545-0.0003-0.02%
    EURSGD=X
    2.0117-0.0004-0.02%
    GBPSGD=X
    88.3437-0.00220.00%
    SGDJPY=X
    5.7589+0.0009+0.02%
    SGDHKD=X
    2.6986+0.0005+0.02%
    SGDMYR=X
    9,534.5762+1.748+0.02%
    SGDIDR=X
    4.6030+0.0009+0.02%
    SGDCNY=X
    1.0477-0.0002-0.02%
    AUDSGD=X
  • Commodities
    Commodities
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1,203.30+5.30+0.44%
    GCM15.CMX
    16.23-0.06-0.36%
    SIK15.CMX
    70.95+0.05+0.07%
    ^XAU
    2.78+0.01+0.22%
    HGK15.CMX
    57.73-0.38-0.65%
    CLM15.NYM
  • Bonds
    Bonds
    TreasuryYield (%)Yield Change
    1.290.00
    ^FVX
    1.85-0.03
    ^TNX
    2.50-0.05
    ^TYX

MARKET MOVERS

  • Most Actives
    Most Actives
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.2350.0000.00%
    5GB.SI
    0.290.000.00%
    5WA.SI
    0.199+0.001+0.51%
    5OU.SI
    0.205+0.024+13.26%
    B0Z.SI
    0.885+0.010+1.14%
    N21.SI
  • % Gainers
    % Gainers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.205+0.024+13.26%
    B0Z.SI
    0.117+0.013+12.50%
    41S.SI
    0.78+0.08+11.43%
    AUE.SI
    0.49+0.05+11.36%
    UV1.SI
    0.199+0.018+9.94%
    K22.SI
  • % Losers
    % Losers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.141-0.023-14.02%
    5RC.SI
    0.186-0.029-13.49%
    5TS.SI
    0.139-0.016-10.32%
    5MD.SI
    0.235-0.025-9.62%
    ACW.SI
    0.105-0.010-8.70%
    J8O.SI