Forex Analysis: Dollar Holds Key Support as S&P 500 Turns Lower

RELATED QUOTES

SymbolPriceChange
^USDOLLAR12,018.44+20.82

THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar held at trend-defining support while the S&P 500 nudged lower, taking a first step toward validating a chart setup that may send the greenback higher.

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices are resting at rising trend line support set from the mid-September bottom, with the outlines of a Flag chart formation hinting at bullish continuation. A Piercing Line candlestick pattern reinforces the case for an upside scenario. A break above Flag resistance at 9970 initially exposes the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 9995. Alternatively, a drop below the trend line (now at 9942) targets the Flag bottom at 9890.

Forex_Analysis_Dollar_Holds_Key_Support_as_SP_500_Turns_Lower_body_Picture_4.png, Forex Analysis: Dollar Holds Key Support as S&P 500 Turns Lower

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a bearish Harami candlestick pattern in the 1425.40-38.90 resistance area, a barrier reinforced by a falling trend line set from the mid-September swing high (now at 1440.80). The setup hints a move lower is ahead. The appearance of a bearish continuation Flag chart formation reinforces the case for a downside scenario. A break below the Flag bottom at 1411.90 confirms the setup, exposing a measured downside target at 1376.70. Alternatively, a move above 1440.80 targets the next upside hurdle at 1466.10.

Forex_Analysis_Dollar_Holds_Key_Support_as_SP_500_Turns_Lower_body_Picture_3.png, Forex Analysis: Dollar Holds Key Support as S&P 500 Turns Lower

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices broke lower after putting in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern, taking out support at a rising trend line set from late June. A move lower is now materializing as expected following a Hanging Man candle completed on a retest of this barrier. Near-term support is at 1692.41, the 50% Fibonacci expansion. A break below that exposes the 61.8% level at 1677.84. Trend line support-turned-resistance is at 1717.82, with a break above that broadly targeting 1752.55 anew.

Forex_Analysis_Dollar_Holds_Key_Support_as_SP_500_Turns_Lower_body_Picture_2.png, Forex Analysis: Dollar Holds Key Support as S&P 500 Turns Lower

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Want to learn more about RSI? Watch this Video.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices moved lower as expected after putting in a Shooting Star candlestick. A bearish continuation Flag chart pattern now appears to be validated with a break through the setup’s lower boundary. Near-term support is at 85.61, the 50% Fibonacci expansion. A break below that exposes the 61.8% Fib at 84.50. Alternatively, a push back above the Flag bottom (86.92) aims for 89.19

Forex_Analysis_Dollar_Holds_Key_Support_as_SP_500_Turns_Lower_body_Picture_1.png, Forex Analysis: Dollar Holds Key Support as S&P 500 Turns Lower

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

To be added to Ilya's e-mail distribution list, please CLICK HERE

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.

--

Get stories like this on the Yahoo app and discover more every day.
Download it now.
Loading...
 
Recent Quotes
Symbol Price Change % Chg 
Your most recently viewed tickers will automatically show up here if you type a ticker in the "Enter symbol/company" at the bottom of this module.
You need to enable your browser cookies to view your most recent quotes.
 
Sign-in to view quotes in your portfolios.

Market Data

  • Currencies
    Currencies
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1.40880.000.00%
    USDSGD=X
    1.57510.000.00%
    EURSGD=X
    2.16840.000.00%
    GBPSGD=X
    86.40380.000.00%
    SGDJPY=X
    5.5020+0.0011+0.02%
    SGDHKD=X
    2.96130.000.00%
    SGDMYR=X
    10,015.67580.000.00%
    SGDIDR=X
    4.5355-0.0031-0.07%
    SGDCNY=X
    1.00940.000.00%
    AUDSGD=X
  • Commodities
    Commodities
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1,133.40+10.80+0.96%
    GCZ15.CMX
    14.57+0.14+0.96%
    SIZ15.CMX
    48.82+1.99+4.24%
    ^XAU
    2.35+0.02+0.94%
    HGZ15.CMX
    45.26+2.70+6.34%
    CLV15.NYM
  • Bonds
    Bonds
    TreasuryYield (%)Yield Change
    1.52+0.04
    ^FVX
    2.19+0.02
    ^TNX
    2.91+0.01
    ^TYX

MARKET MOVERS

  • Most Actives
    Most Actives
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.122+0.008+7.02%
    5DN.SI
    0.520.00+0.97%
    N21.SI
    0.310.000.00%
    5WA.SI
    0.310.00+1.64%
    E5H.SI
    3.80-0.05-1.30%
    Z74.SI
  • % Gainers
    % Gainers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.152+0.041+36.94%
    5MD.SI
    0.25+0.05+21.95%
    5NF.SI
    0.205+0.036+21.30%
    NO4.SI
    0.42+0.07+20.00%
    AZT.SI
    0.25+0.03+16.28%
    A7S.SI
  • % Losers
    % Losers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.205-0.095-31.67%
    Y06.SI
    0.77-0.23-23.00%
    AXL.SI
    0.098-0.022-18.33%
    5UA.SI
    0.11-0.02-15.38%
    40R.SI
    0.101-0.017-14.41%
    T08.SI