EM ASIA FX-Risk aversion dents Asia FX; cautious ahead of Fed
* Singapore dollar down after weak May exports
* Rupiah falls on dividend-linked dollar demand
* Baht slides on dollar-short covering
(Adds text, updates prices)
By Jongwoo Cheon
SINGAPORE, June 17 (Reuters) - Most emerging Asian
currencies extended losses on Tuesday as a deepening conflict in
Iraq and a gas dispute in Ukraine hurt risk sentiment, while
investors stayed cautious ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's
policy meeting later in the day.
The rupee fell to a seven-week low as the risk of
higher oil prices from the insurgency in Iraq continued to fuel
concerns over inflation in India.
Singapore's dollar came under further pressure from
disappointing May exports data. The Indonesian rupiah
eased on dividend-linked dollar demand.
Oil prices remained near nine-month highs after militants
from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant seized a large
swathe of northern Iraq and threatened to capture a key oil
refinery.
Russia cut off gas to Ukraine on Monday in a dispute over
unpaid bills that could disrupt supplies to the rest of Europe
and set back hopes for peace between the former Soviet
neighbours.
"We have various factors such as a Fed meeting to see
near-term corrections in Asian currencies," said Yuna Park, a
currency and bond analyst at Dongbu Securities in Seoul.
"Short-term investors may want to book more profits from
Asia, probably due to strong U.S. economic data, even though I
don't expect any surprise from the Fed meeting," Park added.
U.S. manufacturing output rose in May and factory activity
in New York state accelerated sharply this month, increasing
hopes of a strong rebound in economic growth this quarter.
The Fed is expected to announce a further reduction in its
monthly bond purchasing programme after a two-day policy meeting
starting later on Tuesday, but most market participants do not
expect an interest rate hike until mid-2015.
SINGAPORE DOLLAR
The Singapore dollar eased 0.2 percent to 1.2529 per the
U.S. dollar, its weakest since June 6.
Singapore's non-oil domestic exports unexpectedly fell in
May on weak shipments of electronics and pharmaceuticals to its
key markets, indicating the city-state may not be benefiting yet
from a recovery in developed economies.
"Today's outcome is consistent with our view that the SGD
NEER will at best be stable and USD/SGD will go slightly higher
in order for Singapore to maintain its exports competitiveness,"
said Frances Cheung, head of Asian rates strategy at Credit
Agricole CIB in Hong Kong, referring to the Singapore dollar
nominal effective exchange rate.
The city-state's currency, however, is seen securing a chart
support line around 1.2530, a 55-day moving average, analysts
said.
It also has the 50.0 percent Fibonacci retracement at 1.2529
of its appreciation in June.
RUPIAH
The rupiah slid on dollar demand linked to dividend payments
to foreign investors, traders said.
Spot rupiah came under further pressure from its weakness in
non-deliverable forwards.
The official Jakarta Interbank Spot Dollar Rate, which
Indonesia's central bank launched last year in an effort to
manage exchange rate fluctuations, was fixed at 11,863 per
dollar, weaker than the previous day's 11,814.
A Jakarta-based currency trader said spot rupiah may weaken
past 11,900 due to the uncertainty over the upcoming
presidential election and dollar demand from importers.
BAHT
The Thai baht slid as foreign and local investors
covered short positions in the dollar with subdued trading ahead
of the Fed policy meeting.
Foreign investors were net sellers of Bangkok shares in the
previous five consecutive sessions, unloading a combined net
3.34 billion baht ($103.25 million) during the period.
Still, some foreigners bought local bonds, limiting the
baht's depreciation, traders said.
Foreign investors appeared to have switched from stocks to
bonds, keeping an eye on the political situation, they added.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0445 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 101.97 101.84 -0.13
Sing dlr 1.2522 1.2507 -0.12
Taiwan dlr 30.002 30.061 +0.20
Korean won 1022.70 1020.10 -0.25
Baht 32.42 32.36 -0.19
Peso 43.96 43.92 -0.08
Rupiah 11870.00 11815.00 -0.46
Rupee 60.36 60.16 -0.34
Ringgit 3.2280 3.2250 -0.09
Yuan 6.2322 6.2250 -0.12
Change so far in 2014
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 101.97 105.28 +3.24
Sing dlr 1.2522 1.2632 +0.88
Taiwan dlr 30.002 29.950 -0.17
Korean won 1022.70 1055.40 +3.20
Baht 32.42 32.86 +1.36
Peso 43.96 44.40 +1.00
Rupiah 11870.00 12160.00 +2.44
Rupee 60.36 61.80 +2.39
Ringgit 3.2280 3.2755 +1.47
Yuan 6.2322 6.0539 -2.86
($1 = 32.35 baht)
(Additional reporting by Satawasin Staporncharnchai in BANGKOK;
Editing by Jacqueline Wong)