EM ASIA FX-Most Asian FX restrained by cautious sentiment, rupee rallies
(Adds text, updates prices)
Dec 15 (Reuters) - Most emerging Asian currencies traded in
narrow ranges on Friday, restrained by weak equity markets and a
lack of fresh catalysts though the Indian rupee rose on signs
the country's ruling party could win a key state election.
The Indian climbed nearly half a percent against the dollar,
after exit polls showed Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya
Janata Party (BJP) will likely win elections in the his home
state of Gujarat but caution remains ahead of the actual
results. The state election is seen as a litmus test for Modi
ahead of a national election in 2019.
"A possible landslide victory by the BJP could signal
strength in the coalition, paving the way for PM Modi to
continue his economic policies," Maybank said in a note on
Friday.
In a sign of wider caution in the region, MSCI's broadest
index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was
down 0.5 percent on Friday.
The Indonesian rupiah and the Philippine peso
were trading flat after their central banks kept their
key interest rates unchanged, as expected.
On Thursday, Indonesia's central bank said future policy
decisions would depend on inflation and a stable rupiah currency
amid rate rises by the U.S. Federal Reserve and other developed
economies.
The Philippine central bank dismissed concerns the economy
is at risk of overheating from strong domestic demand and
investments.
China' yuan was slightly higher against the
dollar on the day.
However, most regional currencies were headed for weekly
gains.
On Friday, the dollar index was on the defensive
after wrangling over a bill to change the U.S. tax code dented
confidence. The dollar index was marginally higher at 93.566 on
the day.
The passage of the tax reform took a hit after two U.S.
Republican senators on Thursday were reported to have sought
changes to the proposed legislation to overhaul the U.S. tax
code.
The tax bill needs a simple majority to pass in the Senate,
in which Republicans hold just 52 of the 100 seats and no
Democrats are expected to support it.
Some analysts said the passage of U.S. tax reform would
support Asian currencies.
"Tax reform is good for U.S demand, which is good for Asian
exports. So dollar may not necessarily be very strong against
Asian currencies (next year)," said Nizam Idris, head of
strategy, fixed income and currencies at Macquarie Bank.
"But the dollar has a bit more upside against major
currencies, through policy differentials."
Profit taking at the year-end also kept regional currencies
in check.
Exchange data showed foreigners have sold more than $1
billion in Taiwan equities and $940 million in South Korean
equities this month.
There were net outflows in Indonesia, Philippine and
Thailand markets also.
The following table shows rates for Asian currencies against
the dollar at 0629 GMT.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day
at 0629 GMT
Currency Latest Previous Pct
bid day Move
Japan yen 112.20 112.38 +0.16
Sing dlr 1.3464 1.3455 -0.07
Taiwan dlr 29.994 30.006 +0.04
Korean won 1088 1089.1 +0.11
Baht 32.530 32.5 -0.09
Peso 50.460 50.47 +0.02
Rupiah 13573 13575 +0.01
Rupee 64.11 64.34 +0.37
Ringgit 4.083 4.083 +0.00
Yuan 6.607 6.6095 +0.03
Change so far in
2017
Currency Latest End 2016 Pct
bid Move
Japan yen 112.20 117.07 +4.34
Sing dlr 1.3464 1.4490 +7.62
Taiwan dlr 29.994 32.279 +7.62
Korean won 1088 1207.70 +11.01
Baht 32.530 35.80 +10.05
Peso 50.460 49.72 -1.47
Rupiah 13573 13470 -0.76
Rupee 64.105 67.92 +5.95
Ringgit 4.083 4.4845 +9.83
Yuan 6.607 6.9467 +5.14
(Reporting By Patturaja Murugaboopathy; Additional reporting
by Gaurav Dogra; Editing by Sam Holmes)