EM ASIA FX-Most Asian currencies cautious; Indonesia's rupiah under pressure
(Adds text, updates prices)
By Chandini Monnappa
Aug 14 (Reuters) - Most Asian currencies had some respite on
Tuesday as Turkey's lira pulled back from Monday's record low
and the U.S. dollar retreated, although Indonesia's rupiah
weakened before the start of a central bank policy meeting.
The lira recovered after Turkey's central bank
pledged to provide liquidity and cut reserve requirements for
banks.
"With Turkey still not out of the woods despite some
measures to address banking liquidity, we remain wary on EM
Asian FX for now as sentiment towards the EM complex will be
hampered," Mizuho analysts said in a note.
The lira lost almost 10 percent on Monday and has shed more
than two-fifths of its value so far in 2018 on concerns over its
diplomatic rift with the United States and the risk of capital
flight.
Tremors from the lira's plunge were also felt in South
Africa and Argentina with the rand and Argentina's peso
tumbling.
Argentina's central bank surprised by raising interest rates
by 5 percentage points on Monday, but that was still not enough
to stop the peso hitting a record low.
A ripple of selling was triggered on Friday when U.S.
President Donald Trump announced higher duties on Turkish steel
and aluminium exports, spiking EM foreign exchange volatility
gauges.
Among safe haven assets, the dollar steadied at 110.85 yen
, having hit a six-week trough around 110.11 on Monday.
The dollar was a shade softer against a basket of
peers at 96.324, and gold prices slipped to their lowest in
almost 20 months.
China's yuan strengthened 0.1 percent as the
market shrugged off underwhelming macro-economic data.
Data out on Tuesday showed China's economy displaying
further signs of cooling, with investment in the first seven
months of the year slowing to a record low and retail sales
softening.
Prior to Tuesday's market opening, the PBOC set the midpoint
rate to 6.8695 per dollar, its weakest level since
May 26, 2017, and 66 pips softer than the previous fix of
6.8629.
The Indian rupee inched lower to 69.970, pulling
back from record lows hit during the previous session. On Monday
the rupee touched an all-time low of 69.62 per
dollar.
"In our view, the rupee was overvalued. We had taken a view
that the rupee would cross 70 versus the USD, and the fall in
other EM currencies has just exacerbated the fall," said
Dhananjay Sinha, head of institutional research at Emkay Global
Financial Services in Mumbai.
South Korea's won and the Singapore dollar
strengthened 0.3 percent and 0.1 percent respectively.
The Thai baht and Philippines peso both
weakened 0.2 percent.
Indonesian rupiah
Indonesia's rupiah weakened 0.3 percent as the
country grapples current account deficits.
The central bank and the government have focused on
relieving pressure on the rupiah, one of Asia's worst-performing
currencies this year.
"The rupiah remains a laggard on concerns that Indonesia's
current account deficit may prove difficult to fund," said Wei
Liang Chang, an FX strategist at Mizuho Bank.
President Joko Widodo is set to hold a cabinet meeting on
Tuesday to discuss foreign exchange strategy a day after the
rupiah weakened more than 1 percent.
"The Cabinet could consider new measures to encourage the
repatriation of FX earnings back into IDR (rupiah), or temper
the current pace of imports to alleviate IDR pressures," said
Mizuho's Wei Liang Chang.
Indonesia's central bank intervened to defend the rupiah on
Monday and will begin its two-day policy meeting on
Tuesday.
Bank Indonesia has raised its main interest rate
by 100 basis points since mid-May to defend the
rupiah but is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate
unchanged on Wednesday, a Reuters poll showed.
The majority of analysts in the poll forecast BI would
hold, but four who initially pencilled-in a hold changed their
views to expect a 25-basis point hike after the rupiah slumped.
The following table shows rates for Asian currencies against
the dollar at 0542 GMT.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Japan yen 110.830 110.71 -0.11
Sing dlr 1.375 1.3756 +0.06
Taiwan dlr 30.815 30.812 -0.01
Korean won 1130.300 1133.9 +0.32
Baht 33.320 33.25 -0.21
Peso 53.477 53.37 -0.20
Rupiah 14630.000 14590 -0.27
Rupee 69.970 69.93 -0.05
Ringgit 4.094 4.09 -0.10
Yuan 6.888 6.8900 +0.04
Change so far in 2018
Currency Latest bid End 2017 Pct Move
Japan yen 110.830 112.67 +1.66
Sing dlr 1.375 1.3373 -2.73
Taiwan dlr 30.815 29.848 -3.14
Korean won 1130.300 1070.50 -5.29
Baht 33.320 32.58 -2.22
Peso 53.477 49.93 -6.63
Rupiah 14630.000 13565 -7.28
Rupee 69.970 63.87 -8.72
Ringgit 4.094 4.0440 -1.22
Yuan 6.888 6.5069 -5.53
(Reporting by Chandini Monnappa in Bengaluru; additional
reporting by Aparajita Saxena
Editing by Eric Meijer)