EM ASIA FX-Asian currencies fall on fear of wider U.S-China trade war
(Adds comments, details on rupee and rupiah, updates numbers)
By Patturaja Murugaboopathy
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Most Asian currencies dropped
significantly on Monday on worries that the U.S-China trade
dispute could escalate, deepening fears of a global trade war.
The two emerging Asian currencies most under pressure - the
Indonesian rupiah and the Indian rupee - both
fall sharply, partly because of worries on the global picture
and because of domestic factors.
U.S. President Donald Trump is likely to announce tariffs on
about $200 billion on Chinese imports as early as Monday, a
senior administration official told Reuters on Saturday.
Other media reports say U.S. action would prompt immediate
retaliation from China, which might cancel plans to send senior
officials to Washington for trade talks soon.
Last week, Asian currencies were propped up by prospects of
renewed talks between the world's two biggest economies.
But implementation of fresh tariffs by Trump administration
could prompt investors to discard regional assets and seek
refuge in the dollar.
Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy for Mizuho
Bank in Singapore, said another round of tit-for-tat tariffs
between the US and China would "sour the stage for high-level
US-China trade talks", in turn unnecessarily raising the bar for
an agreement between the two giants.
The biggest loser early on Monday was the Indian rupee,
down 1.1 percent, followed by the South Korean won,
off 1.07 percent.
With a fall of nearly 12 percent, the Indian rupee is
Asia's worst performing currency against the dollar this year.
On Friday, the Indian government announced steps on Friday to
stem its decline.
India's finance minister said the government plans to cut
down "non-necessary" imports, ease overseas borrowing norms for
the manufacturing sector and relax rules around banks raising
rupee-denominated overseas bonds.
However, analysts doubt the government's steps will stem
rupee's declines.
"The rupee is unlikely to get much support from measures to
support the rupee," MUFG Bank said on Monday, saying the steps
are "deemed to be insufficient" to stop the declines.
"In an environment of rising interest rates, corporates may
refrain from obtaining more overseas loans, and in a risk-off
environment when foreign investors are net sellers of both
Indian equities and bonds, raising the FPI (foreign portfolio
investment) limits is unlikely to yield more capital inflows,"
it said.
The Indonesian rupiah was down more than 0.5 percent for the
day after the government posted a bigger-than-expected trade
deficit for August.
Southeast Asia's largest economy had a trade deficit of
$1.02 billion, much larger than the $680 million expected in a
Reuters poll.
The rupiah has fallen nearly 9 percent this year and is the
region's second worst-performing currency.
To help the rupiah, the Indonesian central bank has raised
interest rates four times since mid-May, and many analysts
expect another hike this month.
The following table shows rates for Asian currencies against
the dollar at 0508 GMT.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change as of
0508 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 111.990 112.04 +0.04
Sing dlr 1.375 1.3740 -0.09
Taiwan dlr 30.796 30.760 -0.12
Korean won 1128.000 1116.6 -1.01
Baht 32.660 32.54 -0.37
Peso 54.090 53.97 -0.22
Rupiah 14885.000 14800 -0.57
Rupee 72.635 71.85 -1.09
Yuan 6.870 6.8680 -0.03
*Malaysian markets are closed for
holiday
Change so far in 2018
Currency Latest bid End 2017 Pct Move
Japan yen 111.990 112.67 +0.61
Sing dlr 1.375 1.3373 -2.76
Taiwan dlr 30.796 29.848 -3.08
Korean won 1128.000 1070.50 -5.10
Baht 32.660 32.58 -0.24
Peso 54.090 49.93 -7.69
Rupiah 14885.000 13565 -8.87
Rupee 72.635 63.87 -12.07
Ringgit 4.137 4.0440 -2.25
Yuan 6.870 6.5069 -5.29
(Reporting by Patturaja Murugaboopathy in Bengaluru; Editing by
Richard Borsuk)