Commodity Technical Analysis: Crude Testing Late November Low

Daily Bars

Commodity_Technical_Analysis_Crude_Testing_Late_November_Low_body_crude.png, Commodity Technical Analysis: Crude Testing Late November Low

Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Commodity Analysis: “The trend has been down since September and it’s probably best to look lower since the November low as nothing more than consolidation before additional weakness.” IF crude can sustain a downside break then focus (probably later in the month) would shift to the 78.6% retracement of the rally from 7726 and channel support. Also keep an eye on former trendline resistance, which indicated support on 11/28.

Commodity Trading Strategy: 8550, the first target, has been hit. Now nearing the bottom of the range, reward/risk isn’t favorable for new positions. Bearish risk should be moved down to Monday’s high. Exceeding that level exposes bears to a run at 8745-8889.

LEVELS: 8221 8363 8454 8686 8745 8889

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Market Data

  • Currencies
    Currencies
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1.3799+0.0005+0.03%
    USDSGD=X
    1.5338+0.0005+0.03%
    EURSGD=X
    2.0177+0.0007+0.03%
    GBPSGD=X
    79.8826-0.0587-0.07%
    SGDJPY=X
    5.6286-0.0018-0.03%
    SGDHKD=X
    2.9651-0.0002-0.01%
    SGDMYR=X
    9,841.6572-3.2139-0.03%
    SGDIDR=X
    4.7582-0.0015-0.03%
    SGDCNY=X
    0.9915+0.0003+0.03%
    AUDSGD=X
  • Commodities
    Commodities
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1,215.30-7.40-0.61%
    GCQ16.CMX
    16.25-0.09-0.57%
    SIN16.CMX
    79.41-2.71-3.31%
    ^XAU
    2.11+0.01+0.40%
    HGN16.CMX
    49.56+0.08+0.16%
    CLN16.NYM
  • Bonds
    Bonds
    TreasuryYield (%)Yield Change
    1.39+0.04
    ^FVX
    1.85+0.03
    ^TNX
    2.65+0.02
    ^TYX

MARKET MOVERS

  • Most Actives
    Most Actives
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.305-0.005-1.61%
    N21.SI
    0.895+0.010+1.13%
    Y92.SI
    0.735+0.025+3.52%
    G13.SI
    3.93+0.07+1.81%
    Z74.SI
    1.0050.0000.00%
    C22.SI
  • % Gainers
    % Gainers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.245+0.030+13.95%
    F86.SI
    0.255+0.025+10.87%
    PA3.SI
    0.275+0.025+10.00%
    K29.SI
    0.335+0.030+9.84%
    F03.SI
    0.62+0.05+7.83%
    BMA.SI
  • % Losers
    % Losers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.405-0.120-22.86%
    AWE.SI
    0.22-0.04-15.38%
    BKZ.SI
    0.55-0.10-15.38%
    N0Z.SI
    0.455-0.075-14.15%
    BJE.SI
    0.145-0.019-11.59%
    5G1.SI