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Bull of the Day: FedEx (FDX)

Company Overview

Memphis-based Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) FedEx Corporation (FDX) is the leader global express delivery services. Since 1971, it has been providing a transportation, e-commerce, and business services for its customers. Three main segments drive FedEx: FedEx Express, FedEx Ground, and FedEx Freight.

FedEx Express: Offers time definite delivery to more than 220 countries and territories.

FedEx Ground: A low-cost, day-certain service to any business address in the United States and Canada.

FedEx Freight: Offers less-than-truckload (LTL) freight services in the United States

A Straightforward Bull Case

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The meteoric rise of e-commerce in the United States and worldwide presents significant opportunities for freight companies to grow and expand their business. Beyond traditional delivery, e-commerce consumers demand more efficient and innovative delivery solutions, producing more potential revenue.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


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Industry Tailwinds

Zack’s in-house studies have shown that the top 50% of industry groups tend to outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of two to one. The Transportation – Air Freight and Cargo group meets the threshold by a long shot. The group is ranked in the top 9% of all industries tracked by Zacks and has drastically outperformed the S&P 500 Index over the past three years.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Fundamentals

Despite a recent earnings slowdown, FDX has delivered positive surprises on earnings for two quarters running. Though earnings growth slowed last quarter, investors must look to the future. Analysts have earnings per share soaring to new highs within the next two years.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Total Package

Beyond strong industry tailwinds and a larger total addressable market, FedEx management is intent on rewarding shareholders through dividend payouts. In April, FDX raised its dividend by 10% to $1.26 per share or $5.05 annually. The company also raised its full-year outlook based on its cost savings plan, saying, “We are pleased with the company’s efforts to reward its shareholders even in these difficult times.”

Technical View

One of the most impressive traits of FedEx is its stable yet robust technical performance. FDX has a beta of 1.01, meaning it’s a very tame stock, and its volatility is in line with that of the S&P 500. Despite the low beta, year-to-date, the stock has returned 30% versus 6% in the S&P. Furthermore, the share price is pulling back to the 50-day moving average – an area the stock has found support at for months.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Takeaway

Overall, the rise of e-commerce presents significant opportunities for freight companies like FDX to improve their profitability, increase their market share, and enhance their competitiveness. Furthermore, FDX’s drive to reward shareholders through dividends and cost savings should drive the stock higher in 2023.

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