Since January 1, according to OnChainFX, the bitcoin price is up 37 percent year-to-date against the U.S. dollar, outperforming most indices including the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100.
Oil $USO: +38%
Bitcoin $BTC: +35%
Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: +21%
REITs $VNQ: +19%
MLPs $AMLP: +18%
Small Caps $IWM: +18%
S&P 500 $SPY: +17%
EM $EEM: +14%
EAFE $EFA: +13%
Commodities $DBC: +13%
High Yield $HYG: +9%
Investment Grade $LQD: +6%
Bonds $AGG: +2%
Gold $GLD: +0.5%
— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) April 13, 2019
Despite its 80 percent drop from its all-time high in 2018, bitcoin has performed strongly in recent months, demonstrating newly gained momentum.
In early 2017, bitcoin was valued at less than $1,000. Since 2017, bitcoin is up around 400 percent in about two and a half years.
Does Bitcoin Make a Good Alternative Investment?
Last month, in a column entitled “The case for a small allocation to bitcoin,” Xapo CEO Wences Casares said that a $10 million portfolio should invest up to 1 percent in bitcoin, about $100,000 because it has a chance to bring a large return over the long run.
I suggest that a $10 million portfolio should invest at most $100,000 in Bitcoin (up to 1% but not more as the risk of losing this investment is high). If Bitcoin fails, this portfolio will lose at most $100,000 or 1% of its value over 3 to 5 years, which most portfolios can bear. But if Bitcoin succeeds, in 7 to 10 years those $100,000 may be worth more than $25 million, more than twice the value of the entire initial portfolio.