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Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (NYSE:BBAR) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (NYSE:BBAR) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript November 22, 2023

Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for waiting. At this time, we would like to welcome everyone to BBVA Argentina's Third Quarter 2023 Financial Year Results Conference Call. We would like to inform you that this event is being recorded and all participants will be in listen-only mode during the company presentation. After company remarks are completed, there will be a question-and-answer session. At that time, further instructions will be given. [Operator Instructions]. First of all, let me point out that some of the statements made during this conference call may be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Safe Harbor provisions found in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1993 under US Federal Securities Law.

These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Additional information concerning these factors is contained in BBVA Argentina's Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year of 2022, filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Today, with us, we have Ms. Carmen Morillo Arroyo, CFO; Ms. Ines Lanusse, IRO; and Ms. Belen Fourcade, Investor Relations. Ms. Fourcade, you may begin your conference.

Belen Fourcade: Good morning and welcome to BBVA Argentina's Third Quarter 2023 Fiscal Year Result Conference Call. Today's webinar will be supported by a slide presentation available on our investor relations website under Financial Information section. Speaking during today's call will be Ines Lanusse, our Investor Relations Officer; and Carmen Morillo Arroyo, our Chief Financial Officer, who will be available for the Q&A session. Please note that starting January 1, 2020, as per Central Bank regulation, we have begun reporting results applying hyperinflation accounting pursuant to IFRS rule IAS 29. For ease of comparability, 2022 and 2023 figures have been restated to reflect the accumulated effect of inflation adjustment for each period through September 30, 2023. Now, let me turn the call over to Ines.

Ines Lanusse: Thank you, Belen and thank you all for joining us today. As we are all aware, Argentina has ended its presidential election process, which started on August 13 with the PASO elections continued with the general elections on October 22 and ended with a second round or ballottage on November 19, where Javier Milei from La Libertad Avanza Party was elected President, changing the current ruling party. The presidential inauguration ceremony will take place on December 10. The unfavorable macroeconomic conditions have continued to deteriorate, increasing the risk of economic and financial turbulence in the high uncertainty context of the electoral scenario. BBVA research expects GDP to fall by around 3% this year, 50 basis points less than previously forecasted, mainly due to better unexpected activity data.

For the first month of 2024, strong corrections and increase in inflation is expected. In this context, GDP could contract 4% in 2024, a 150 basis points more than what was previously expected. Referring to BBVA Argentina's performance, in the first nine months of 2023, a better operating income was the product of an improvement in interest income due to an increase in the position and yield of central bank instruments and inflation-linked bonds. At the same time, the effect of interest rates on loans, mainly leverage on commercial loans, serves the operating income growth. Now, moving into business dynamics. As you can see on Slide 3 of the webcast presentation, our service offering has evolved in such a way that by the end of September '23, regional digital clients penetration reached 61%, while retail mobile clients reached 56%.

The response on the side of customers has been satisfactory, and we are convinced this is the path to pursue in the aim of sustaining and expanding our competitive position in the financial system. Retail digital sales measured in units reached 93.8% in the third quarter of 2023 and represent 72.7% of the bank's total sales measured in monetary value. New customer acquisition to digital channels reached 66% in the third quarter of 2023 from 72% in the third quarter of 2022. The bank actively monitors its business, financial conditions and operating results in the aim of keeping a competitive position to face contextual challenges. Moving to Slide 4, I will now comment on the Bank's third quarter 2023 financial results. BBVA Argentina's third quarter 2023 net income was ARS9.9 billion, decreasing 75.9% quarter over quarter.

This implied a quarterly ROE of 5.1% and a quarterly ROA of 0.9%. Operating income in the third quarter of 2023 was ARS167.3 billion, decreasing 1% from the ARS169 billion recorded in the second quarter of 2023. Quarterly operating results are mainly explained by, one, better interest income results through public securities and liquidity instruments, and two, an improvement in low loss allowances. These effects were negatively offset by one, lower net fee income and two higher administrative expenses. It is worth noting a higher income from the write-down of assets at amortized cost and at fair value through other compressive income of ARS4 billion, mainly due to the sale of corporate bonds. In the quarter, there is a positive effect in the income tax line considering the final judgment dictated by the Supreme Court concerning fiscal years 2014 and 2013.

Applying the accounting information framework established by the Central Bank, the Bank has recorded a positive result of ARS7.4 billion as of September 30, 2023. Net income for the period was highly impacted by income from net monetary position as inflation increased from 23.8% in the second quarter of 2023 to 34.8% in the third quarter of 2023. Turning into the P&L lines in Slide 5 and 6, net interest income for the third quarter of 2023 was ARS270.2 billion, increasing 8.1% quarter over quarter. In the third quarter of 2023, interest income in monetary terms increased more than interest expenses, mainly due to, one, an increase from REPOs, two, a higher position and yield of public securities, in particular of LELIQs, and three, the positive effect of income from loans, especially from discounted instruments, mainly due to productive investment credit lines for SMEs. This was offset by the negative effect of interest expenses from checking accounts and time deposits.

The CEO of the retail bank standing in front of the company's logo, pointing to the future of the business.
The CEO of the retail bank standing in front of the company's logo, pointing to the future of the business.

In the third quarter of 2023, interest income totaled ARS586.9 billion, increasing 17.3% compared to the second quarter of 2023. This is partially due to the higher average position in LELIQ, added to a gradual increase in the monetary policy rate from 97% at the beginning of the quarter, up to 118% at quarter end. Interest expenses total ARS316.6 billion, denoting a 26.5% increase quarter over quarter. Quarterly increase is described by higher checking account, in particular interest-bearing checking account and time deposit expenses. Interest from time deposits, including investment accounts explained 70.5% of interest expenses versus 77.7% in the previous quarter. Net fee income as of the third quarter of 2023 totaled ARS17.6 billion, decreasing 44.9% quarter-over-quarter.

In the third quarter of 2023, fee income totaled ARS39.5 billion, falling 12.1%. The quarterly decrease is mainly explained by a 21% fall in fees from credit cards, considering that this line includes Puntos BBVA royalty program and that there was a greater use of this program. Additionally, an increase in prices was implemented during September, not getting to offset the negative effect of inflation and denoting a 5.1% fall in fee income links to liabilities. Regarding fee expenses, these totaled ARS22 billion, increasing 68.9% quarter-over-quarter. Greater expenses are explained by fees paid in foreign exchange transactions related to royalty affected by the devaluation of the local currency and client acquisition costs, which translates into a 4% increase in active clients in the third quarter of 2023.

In the third quarter of 2023, loan loss allowances decreased 48.4% due to the release of provisions related to credit cards, derived from the stability in the NPL ratio of the retail portfolio. During the third quarter of 2023, total operating expenses were ARS137.2 billion, increasing 9.7% quarter over quarter, of which 31% were Personnel benefits costs. Personnel benefits increased 8.5% quarter over quarter. The quarterly increase is mainly explained by the projected inflation adjustment of vacation stock provisions and variable compensations. This adjustment is applied retroactively. Quarterly increases were also affected by the 32% collective agreement increase on wages, which implied a 97% accumulated increase as of the third quarter of 2023.

As of the third quarter of 2023, administrative expenses increased 12.7% quarter over quarter. The quarterly increase is mainly explained by, one, outsourced administrative expenses, two, greater rent expenses, three, taxes and, four, an increase in software services. All of these were related to an increase in the amount of services contracted and an increase in expenses of service contracted with the parent company. Being this said, the quarterly efficiency ratio as of the third quarter of 2023 was 82.4% increasing compared to the 52% reported in the second quarter of 2023. The quarterly increase is explained by a higher increase in expenses than income, which considers the negative effects of inflation. The accumulated efficiency ratio as of the third quarter of 2023 reached 63.8% compared to the 56.6% reported in the second quarter of 2023 and improving versus the 69% reported in the third quarter of 2022.

In terms of activity on Slide 7, private sector loans as of the third quarter of 2023 totaled ARS1.4 trillion, decreasing 4.8% and 0.1% year-over-year. Loans to the private sector in pesos fell 5.3% in the third quarter of 2023. During the quarter, the decrease was especially driven by a 9.4% decline in credit cards, followed by a 11.7% fall in consumer loans and a 7.5% fall in other loans, which include commercial loans related to productive investment, credit lines or SMEs. The fall was partially offset by a 7.6% increase in discounted instruments, driven by the new productive investment credit line quotas. Loans to the private sector denominated in foreign currency increased 2.6%. Quarterly increase is mainly explained by a 4% growth in financing and pre-financing of exports and a 9.4% growth in credit cards.

Loans to the private sector in foreign currency, measured in US dollars increased 1.5% quarter-over-quarter. During the quarter, the retail portfolio fell 9.9% and the commercial portfolio increased 1.5%. As observed in previous quarters, loan portfolios were impacted by the effect of inflation during the third quarter of 2023, which reached 34.8%. In nominal terms, BBVA Argentina managed to increase the retail, commercial, and total loan portfolio by 21.5%, 36.8%, and 28% respectively during the quarter, only surpassing quarterly inflation levels in the case of commercial loans. BBVA Argentina's consolidated market share of private sector loans reached 9.35% as of the third quarter of 2023, improving from the 8.47% a year ago. In the third quarter of 2023, asset quality ratio was 1.42% compared to the 1.38% recorded in the second quarter of 2023.

The increase is mainly explained by a slight increase in the commercial non-performing portfolio, linked to the increment in the foreign currency exchange rate. On the funding side, as seen on Slide 8, private non-financial sector deposits in the third quarter of 2023 totaled ARS2.6 trillion, decreasing 5.5% quarter over quarter. The Bank's consolidated market share of private deposits reached 7.13% as of the third quarter of 2023. Private non-financial sector deposits decreased 5.7% compared to the second quarter of 2023. The quarterly change is mainly affected by a 17.9% decline in time deposits and a 22.3% fall in saving accounts, partially offset by a 23.9% increase in checking accounts, especially interest-bearing checking accounts. Private non-financial sector deposits in foreign currency expressed in pesos increased 1% quarter over quarter.

In terms of capitalization, BBVA Argentina continues to show strong solvency indicators in the third quarter of 2023. Capital ratio reached 27.1%. The decline in the ratio was mainly driven by the impact of devaluation of the foreign exchange rate on risk-weighted assets, combined with a nominal increment of loans. Exposure to the public sector in the third quarter of 2023, excluding Central Bank instruments represents 12.7% of total assets, above the 11% in the second quarter of 2023 and below the 16.8% reported by the system as of August 2023. It is worth mentioning that as of the date of this report, BBVA Argentina has distributed the six installments scheduled on dividend payment from the ARS50.4 billion total to be paid according to the plan published on June 7, 2023, and based on the terms agreed with the Central Bank.

The Bank's total liquidity ratio remained healthy at 76.6% of total deposits as of September 30, 2023. This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now take your questions. Operator, please open the line for questions.

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