Singapore Jan industrial output in surprise fall

SINGAPORE, Feb 26 (Reuters) - Singapore's Economic

Development Board (EDB) on Tuesday released the following

industrial production data for January:

(change in percentage terms)

Jan Dec* Nov* Oct* Sep* Aug* Jul*

m/m s/adj -9.2 6.6 1.4 0.9 -1.9 -2.5 -7.5

y/y -0.4 1.3 2.8 -5.1 -3.5 -2.8 2.3

Excluding Biomedical

Jan Dec* Nov*

m/m s/adj -4.0 2.7 0.2

y/y 3.3 -2.8 0.6

* revised

CONTEXT

- The fall in output in January was a surprise, as

economists polled by Reuters had a median forecast for

year-on-year growth of 4.0 percent and month-on-month growth of

2.8 percent after seasonal adjustment.

- One reason year-on-year growth had been expected for

January was that in 2012, the Lunar New Year holiday started on

Jan. 23. This year, the holiday began Feb. 10, so there was no

holiday-break impact on January.

- The biggest contributor to January's annual fall was

pharmaceutical production, which dropped 20 percent from a year

earlier. Pharmaceutical output traditionally is volatile.

- December's industrial production was revised upwards to

show a year-on-year expansion instead of a 0.6 percent

contraction as earlier reported. The month-on-month seasonally

adjusted growth for December was raised to 6.6 percent from an

earlier estimate of 5.4 percent.

- Singapore's electronics output fell 3.4 percent in January

from a year ago. But the semiconductors segment reversed from a

declining trend to record year-on-year growth of 4.3 percent.

- Singapore's non-oil domestic exports edged 0.5 percent

higher in January from a year ago, helped by increased shipments

of printed matter, petrochemicals and non-monetary gold.

- Although Singapore exports most of what it produces, there

is sometimes a time lag between production and shipment. The

city-state's export data is reported in Singapore dollars while

industrial production data is based on an index that takes into

account volume.

For the full set of data, please click on

www.singstat.gov.sg

(Reporting by Kevin Lim; Editing by Richard Borsuk)

 
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