Forex Analysis: Crowds Extremely Long US Dollar, May Continue Lower

Retail forex trading crowds have bought aggressively into US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) weakness against the Euro and broader counterparts. We’ll take a contrarian view in favor of further USD declines.

View individual currency sections:

EURUSD - Forex Crowds Sell Euro, We Favor Gains

GBPUSD - British Pound Poised for Further Strength

USDJPY - Japanese Yen Bounce Clouds Outlook

USDCHF - Swiss Franc Outlook Bullish

USDCAD - Canadian Dollar Forecast to Strengthen

AUDUSD - Australian Dollar Targets November Highs

ssi_table_story_1_body_Picture_8.png, Forex Analysis: Crowds Extremely Long US Dollar, May Continue Lower

The significant shift in trader sentiment has been enough to force our sentiment-based forex trading strategies to sell the US Dollar across the board. Yet this is with the important caveat that retail crowds are often most net-long at the bottom of the market.

We’ll keep a close eye on whether the USDOLLAR is able to trade above psychologically significant resistance at the 10000 mark. If we do indeed see a USD breakout, it might serve as short-term confirmation of an important reversal.

ssi_table_story_1_body_Picture_7.png, Forex Analysis: Crowds Extremely Long US Dollar, May Continue Lower

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
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Market Data

  • Currencies
    Currencies
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1.25520.00+0.07%
    USDSGD=X
    1.61760.00+0.10%
    EURSGD=X
    1.9126-0.00-0.06%
    GBPSGD=X
    81.79610.25+0.31%
    SGDJPY=X
    6.1835-0.01-0.09%
    SGDHKD=X
    2.4004-0.00-0.11%
    SGDMYR=X
    7,775.6851-5.73-0.07%
    SGDIDR=X
    4.8868-0.01-0.20%
    SGDCNY=X
    1.23220.00+0.18%
    AUDSGD=X
  • Commodities
    Commodities
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    1,391.407.30+0.53%
    GCM13.CMX
    22.700.12+0.54%
    SIN13.CMX
    103.06
    ^XAU
    3.360.00+0.07%
    HGN13.CMX
    96.990.06+0.06%
    CLN13.NYM
  • Bonds
    Bonds
    TreasuryYield (%)Yield Change
    0.84
    ^FVX
    1.96
    ^TNX
    3.17
    ^TYX

MARKET MOVERS

  • Most Actives
    Most Actives
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.575-0.00-0.86%
    E5H.SI
    0.1970.00+0.00%
    I26.SI
    0.109-0.00-1.80%
    5RJ.SI
    0.3850.06+18.46%
    M9F.SI
    0.3050.02+7.02%
    566.SI
  • % Gainers
    % Gainers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.250.04+19.05%
    5MQ.SI
    0.3850.06+18.46%
    M9F.SI
    0.1180.02+16.83%
    T16.SI
    0.620.08+15.89%
    I06.SI
    0.280.03+9.80%
    5IA.SI
  • % Losers
    % Losers
    NamePriceChange% Chg
    0.083-0.02-17.82%
    5HW.SI
    0.13-0.02-13.33%
    B2X.SI
    0.11-0.01-8.33%
    5QZ.SI
    0.20-0.02-6.98%
    5UO.SI
    0.112-0.01-5.88%
    B64.SI