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Greece Finally Gets Its Latest Bailout… So How Long To The Next Crisis?

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The powers-that-be in Europe have finally agreed to the latest Greek bailout.

As expected, the package will involve 1) the restructuring of Greece's existing debt, 2) more "austerity" measures imposed on Greek government spending, and 3) a baby-sitting team from the rest of Europe charged with making sure Greece complies with the new deal.

Of all the observers who have pronounced judgement on the deal today, I am not aware of a single one who views this as a permanent solution.

Rather, like most of the deals in Europe to date, everyone thinks the new Greek bailout will just buy time.

Felix Salmon of Reuters still thinks Greece will still be forced to withdraw from the Euro, probably this year. Although the new deal will push off the country's bond repayments for decades, Salmon says, the new austerity cuts will likely lead to further rioting and frustration among the Greek population. And this, Salmon thinks, will quickly lead to Greece reneging on its latest round of promises.

Once Greece fails to meet its obligations, Salmon argues, the team charged with making sure that Greece is complying with the deal will withhold bailout money.

And then the latest deal will fall apart, and Greece will leave the Euro.

This exit won't be good news, says Salmon. It will be a disaster for Greece. But at this point it's the only likely outcome.

Meanwhile, the argument about whether "austerity" is really a smart way for countries to handle crises like this continues. And the longer it goes on, the more it seems that John Maynard Keynes's approach is the wise one: When economies tank, governments need to stimulate like crazy to pick up the slack.

Of course, Keynes also argued that, in good times, governments should run surpluses. And that never seems to happen. So regardless of which philosophy finally prevails in Greece, Europe, and the rest of the world, the argument will rage on.

SEE ALSO: The 7 Things You Need To Know About The Greece Bailout.

 
  • J EDGAR  •  Charlotte, United States  •  2 months ago
    Once the Greeks get the money the austerity measures go out the window.
  • None of ya Business  •  2 months ago
    "How Long To The Next Crisis?" well with all of the panic and bullscrap reporting it should be in about another 15 min..
  • James H  •  Pensacola, United States  •  2 months ago
    You can't borrow your way out of debt. You either default (bankruptcy) or pay it off. For Greece default is the only option. Then withdraw from the EU and inflate the Greek currency like mad to pay of remaining debt.

    Let this be an object lesson for the U.S. We are not far behind Greece.
    • Liakopoulos 2 months ago
      The difference is ,the debt will be not in the new currency, but in Euros or Dollars.
      Greece does not have the luxury to inflate her currency and reduce debt like
      America does. Its an unfair world
  • Daemonicus  •  2 months ago
    "Once Greece fails to meet its obligations,"

    It is a matter of when, not if.
  • CJ  •  Orlando, United States  •  2 months ago
    "Of course, Keynes also argued that, in good times, governments should run surpluses." This says it all. The whole world seems to think they can follow the parts of a philosophy they like and just ignore the part they don't like... NO philosophy will work doing that.
  • Bill  •  Chicago, United States  •  2 months ago
    it is ineveitable but this gives the german and frecnh banks a few more months to dump all of their greek exposure..then they will let greece leave the euro..but the real fun will begin when the rest of the piggs line up..
    • Tom 2 months ago
      Believe me, nobody is buying Greek debt.
    • joe 2 months ago
      PIIGS. Spain should be next. They had demonstrations in 57 cities over the weekend and almost no press coverage. Spain needs to cut 40 billion euros this year, vs. 14 billlion euros a year for the last two years, in spending. This will slow their economy more. This is going on all over Europe and europeans are cutting back on spending, car sales were down 15% last eyar in Europe. The global economy gets weaker before it gets better.
    • David 2 months ago
      Joe you sound like a bitter man, what's wrong get turned down for a loan on a used trailer house?
  • Kevin  •  Irvine, United States  •  2 months ago
    Crises are MAN MADE. So they can make the next crises any time they want.
    • Odd Duck 2 months ago
      To be more precise, crises are made by peoples' demands on government for socialist handouts.
    • tutankhamun 2 months ago
      I agree 100%.Any time they want.Very soon but..)
    • Kevin 2 months ago
      The sub prime mortgage melt down was caused by the government. Barney Frank and company designed those types of loans to fail. Wall Street bet big on those loans to fail and fail they did.

      The great depression was man made.

      The next great depression will be man made.

      The US Government the Feds and world banks have been creating the next big depression.
  • Chris  •  2 months ago
    At this point, I actually hope Greece takes the extra money and then quickly backs away from their "promises" thus defaulting anyways. The world is/was incredibly stupid to give Greece any extra funds at all. What don't you give an alcoholic? More alcohol!
    • FRAUD 2 months ago
      Same thing goes for the FED (Bank Cartels) and Wall Street!
    • FrankJ 2 months ago
      It's called being an enablerrrrrrrr
  • Trader  •  2 months ago
    My personal opinion, all this Greek business we are reading about is a destruction from our domestic problems.
    Greece has economy the size of Conney Island and it's pulling down entire developed world? Inconceivable.
    We must look for problems closer to home.
    National Debt, Budget deficit, Trade deficit, unemployment, inflation, total lack of leadership in DC, anti-business policies, social and economic engineering, class warfare... and the list goes on.
    I am sure our politician will be saying look at the stock market going up, everything must be fine. The truth is that the rising markets are only reflection of abnormal money supply and artificially depressed interest rates, not the real economy.
    Those in DC posing like champions for the middle class - are anything but...
    • I'mthinking.. 2 months ago
      The worry has never been about Greece; it's been about CDS backing Greek debt if Greece defaults
    • Trader 2 months ago
      The crazies lead the blind!!
    • DrewD 2 months ago
      Very well spoken trader.
  • Andy  •  Sunnyvale, United States  •  2 months ago
    The media really needs a crisis. If they don't get one (or the fear of one), no one will be reading their hype stories.
  • quoto  •  2 months ago
    Does there have to be a dam video with every article?
  • mrc  •  2 months ago
    lost in all the hubbub is one key source of sovereign debt problems.
    if you google: goldman sachs derivatives greece, you'll see who was deep in the middle of all this and continues today.
  • George  •  2 months ago
    This is no fix! They are just kicking the can down the street.

    Goodbye EU and the Euro!
  • Sane Citizen  •  Salt Lake City, United States  •  2 months ago
    Journalism 101: when you don't know squat, throw a question mark into the headline.
  • John  •  New York, United States  •  2 months ago
    How long, when is the next Greek payment due?
  • Bob  •  2 months ago
    "Of course, Keynes also argued that, in good times, governments should run surpluses. And that never seems to happen."

    Bingo! ....after all, it does cost money to buy votes. Anyone would think that a country this size could afford to hire one B grade business manager to balance the budget. But, politicians are not put in office for being financially literate. Good looks, smooth talking, empty promises, personality marketing. Experience doesn't matter to an ignorant voter. We have the government that the majority wants. One man, one vote = bad governance. Sorry, but it is true. Everyone must have skin in the game if they are to vote intelligently. Taxation without representation is bad. Representation without taxation is bad. It is the flip side of the coin. Robin Hood politicians have sent this country on the downward path. It will be interesting to see if anyone is able to turn the train around. If not, America will be flushed down the toilet of history. There is no inevitability to it, we will choose. We are choosing.
  • Oh Yeah  •  2 months ago
    The debt system has failed world wide. The days of the big cartel banks are numbered and that number will soon be up. Both nations and individuals will default on a grand scale. .
  • Georgie  •  2 months ago
    How long? Why not ask the Federal Reserve? As they have apparrently circulated a timetable for Greek bankruptcy to several Wall St banksters. End game is 23rd March after markets close.
  • Homey  •  Seattle, United States  •  2 months ago
    And look at this guy, "Keynes appears to be right" The lack of assuredness seems even comical. The borrowing and spending that Keynesian economics propagates is what got us in this hole to begin with. And now each US taxpayer owes the government $1,135,000 each. Nice.
  • Wolf  •  2 months ago
    Its already far along...Greece just got a ten year loan to stay out of default...wasting $170 Billion more...the EU is bankrupt and will default within the next couple of years...the US is about to get hit by the over three Trillion in under funded public sector pension liabilities that provide the public sector employees with their millionaire retirement packages...the US debt and deficit growth is continuing at an increasing rate and the US will too be in default the next couple of years...printing more money by the Central Banks will just expedite the process as wealth is destroyed and inflation is added to the mix to attempt to devalue the debt levels...financial Armageddon is upon us...

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